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Stats as of
papax
+$2.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 828
- First Seen
- Feb 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 51% won · 85 settled · +$1.7K
papax is a Kalshi trader with 828 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 244 wins and 401 losses on settled markets, $2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 38%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $40.4K
- Typical trade
- $23.62
- Avg entry
- 31¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,480
Profit over time
+$3.2K-$166.00
Feb 27Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1379%13%+3 pts
20 to 40¢30731%37%+6 pts
40 to 60¢25747%48%+1 pts
60 to 80¢2772%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢10092%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1120729%-$193.37
$12 to $2420739%+$452.94
$24 to $4820739%+$700.25
$48 to $1.2K20748%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL13037%-$250.94
NBA10651%+$1.7K
College football10045%+$1.3K
Soccer14434%-$188.02
Baseball7043%+$209.80
College basketball6436%+$630.39
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied papax
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$992.96
Profit
on $19,700.00 staked
71-126
Record
36% win rate
-5%
Return
+$463.30-$1.5K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
482% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$11.6K won vs $12.6K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 82 trades
By category
crypto5 settled+33%
sports191 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philadelphia wins
Oct 26
Philadelphia wins
Oct 26, 5 fills
yes Benjamin Willwerth,yes Philadelphia
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$969.77Orlando wins$300.37 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 26
- 2+$545.74Saint Louis at Georgia Winner?$465.26 on Yes at 46¢, Mar 20
- 3+$352.22yes St. John's,yes Tennessee,yes UConn$94.76 on Yes at 21¢, Mar 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Kansas City wins35¢433%-$487.12
Orlando wins24¢9100%+$969.77
Philadelphia wins41¢90%-$457.22
Miami wins21¢80%-$166.73
New York wins36¢90%-$311.23
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$63.95
Mar 2026+$693.40
Apr 2026+$63.55
May 2026+$671.84
Jun 2026+$324.75
Jul 2026-$18.44
Aug 2026+$99.80
Sep 2026-$610.30
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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