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Stats as of

paporucho

+$795.68
Tracked Trades
746
First Seen
Nov 2, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
41% won · 422 settled · +$1.1K

paporucho is a Kalshi trader with 746 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 206 wins and 330 losses on settled markets, $795.68 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 31.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$142.5K
Typical trade
$47.70
Avg entry
36¢
Kalshi rank
#4,634

Profit over time

+$5.0K-$561.00
Nov 2Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2366%7%+1 pts
20 to 40¢13330%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢17750%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢10568%68%+0 pts
Over 80¢9589%93%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $918723%-$60.27
$9 to $4818721%+$616.61
$48 to $19318654%+$532.58
$193 to $3.2K18666%-$293.24

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin59842%+$1.6K
Commodities6236%-$484.52
Soccer1420%-$242.40
NBA2727%+$338.63
Baseball1913%-$452.60
Parlays913%-$100.05

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied paporucho

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,894.04
Profit
on $29,700.00 staked
121-176
Record
41% win rate
+6%
Return
Profit over time297 settled trades
+$1.9K-$1.8K
Aug 24Oct 26
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
9243% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$19.5K won vs $17.6K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 41¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
84 trades

By category

crypto247 settled+9%
finance32 settled+6%
other7 settled+2%
sports11 settled-54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 31, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 73¢$1.2KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
Sold Nosold 88¢$534.28Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30, 2 fills
No85¢sold 83¢$857.65+$151.35
See every position across 280 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.8K on Yes at 45¢, Oct 22
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on No at 53¢, Oct 23
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $946.24 on No at 42¢, Oct 22
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43¢59141%+$1.4K
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?44¢3042%-$152.74
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?6¢40%-$295.32
Brent Crude Oil price up in next 15 mins?63¢1455%-$86.60
Denver at Phoenix Winner?76¢2100%+$403.10

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Nov 2024+$235.40
Mar 2026-$182.32
Jul 2026-$276.62
Aug 2026-$19.30
Sep 2026-$51.87
Oct 2026+$1.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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