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Stats as of
ParlayFader
parlayfader
-$16.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 401
- First Seen
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 28, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 36% won · 25 settled · +$1.4K
ParlayFader is a Kalshi trader with 401 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 282 losses on settled markets, -$16.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Milwaukee wins on Oct 28.
- Win rate
- 17%
- Return on settled
- -35%
- Money traded
- $99.1K
- Typical trade
- $35.95
- Avg entry
- 8¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,493
Profit over time
+$2.1K-$19.8K
Feb 11Oct 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2456%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢7930%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢3847%36%-11 pts
60 to 80¢1370%57%-13 pts
Over 80¢2693%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1010112%-$88.89
$10 to $3610014%-$589.96
$37 to $9810020%-$929.51
$103 to $9.5K10026%-$15.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer10028%-$10.0K
Parlays2095%-$11.8K
Baseball3336%+$1.4K
Hockey2547%+$838.44
NBA1175%+$2.8K
MMA640%+$270.86
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied ParlayFader
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$351.13
Profit
on $6,000.00 staked
10-50
Record
17% win rate
-6%
Return
+$1.2K-$2.1K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$4.6K won vs $5.0K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
sports60 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Milwaukee wins
Oct 28
Chelsea To Advance
Oct 28, 3 fills
Manchester United wins
Oct 28
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.6KMilwaukee wins$3.4K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 28
- 2+$1.8KGame 2: Anaheim at Vegas Winner?$1.2K on Yes at 41¢, May 6
- 3+$1.6KGame 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?$235.65 on Yes at 13¢, Jun 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?35¢60%-$4.0K
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM Winner?21¢40%-$2.5K
yes France advances,yes Mexico advances,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored30¢20%-$2.4K
yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: England,yes Reg Time: Spain,no Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored2¢20%-$93.22
Milwaukee wins56¢467%+$2.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 31Oct 28
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$58.94
Mar 2026-$1.86
Apr 2026+$773.59
May 2026-$5.7K
Jun 2026+$876.66
Jul 2026-$14.3K
Aug 2026-$75.03
Sep 2026-$1.2K
Oct 2026+$3.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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