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Stats as of
past.lunch
-$16
- Tracked Trades
- 770
- First Seen
- Oct 18, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In College football
- 68% won · 95 settled · +$864
past.lunch is a Kalshi trader with 770 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 276 wins and 221 losses on settled markets, -$16 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MZDDCYS2NRSORE26-3A6FAQDWY on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 56%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $33.4K
- Typical trade
- $13
- Avg entry
- 55¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,814
Profit over time
+$281-$1.4K
Oct 18Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1437%15%+8 pts
20 to 40¢8131%23%-7 pts
40 to 60¢17750%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢23870%68%-2 pts
Over 80¢13190%80%-10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $319367%+$14
$3 to $1319353%-$132
$13 to $4019250%-$442
$41 to $1.5K19255%+$544
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays9642%+$642
College football16468%+$864
Tennis17181%+$312
NBA10853%-$275
NFL9243%-$235
Bitcoin8828%-$348
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied past.lunch
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$917
Profit
on $37500 staked
235-140
Record
63% win rate
+2%
Return
+$917-$2.2K
Aug 31Oct 19
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
358% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$14.9K won vs $14.0K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 61¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 21
- Deepest drawdown
- 103 trades
By category
crypto11 settled+76%
sports358 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MZDDCYS2NRSORE26-3A6FAQDWY
Oct 22
Los Angeles L over 124.5 points scored
Oct 22, 4 fills
Los Angeles L over 124.5 points scored
Oct 22
Biggest wins
- 1+$674yes Sam Darnold: 175+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 50+,yes J.K. Dobbins: 30+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 40+$480 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 15
- 2+$649KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MZDDCYS2NRSORE26-3A6FAQDWY$1.5K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 22
- 3+$389yes Nico Collins: 40+,yes James Cook III: 50+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+$485 on Yes at 56¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?24¢8529%+$30
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MZDDCYS2NRSORE26-3A6FAQDWY69¢1100%+$649
Los Angeles L over 124.5 points scored88¢5100%+$144
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265SMU5NQ5R2BHTJXG-RFL7CPVBI75¢1100%+$292
yes Kenneth Walker III: 50+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 30+,yes Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+56¢2100%+$281
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$101
Dec 2025-$9
Apr 2026-$391
May 2026+$331
Jun 2026-$712
Sep 2026+$175
Oct 2026+$690
Kalshi leaderboards
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