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Stats as of

pdon33

+$133.50
Tracked Trades
476
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Baseball
78% won ยท 36 settled ยท +$959.47

pdon33 is a Kalshi trader with 476 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 228 wins and 77 losses on settled markets, $133.50 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 28.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$61.2K
Typical trade
$48.33
Avg entry
77ยข
Kalshi rank
#4,700

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$503.00
Sep 13Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข617%0%-7 pts
20 to 40ยข2731%6%-25 pts
40 to 60ยข2652%48%-4 pts
60 to 80ยข8870%67%-3 pts
Over 80ยข27492%95%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2211946%-$168.91
$22 to $4811963%-$378.10
$48 to $12711986%+$606.84
$130 to $1.2K11988%+$73.67

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis18882%+$149.40
Bitcoin9968%-$648.15
NFL3988%+$607.09
Baseball6578%+$959.47
College football3868%-$600.53
Parlays3139%-$452.41

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied pdon33

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,390.76
Profit
on $16,500.00 staked
118-47
Record
72% win rate
-8%
Return
Profit over time165 settled trades
+$484.69-$1.4K
Sep 7Oct 26
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
343% below peak
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70ร—
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $4.7K lost
-0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 72ยข avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
104 trades

By category

sports126 settled-6%
crypto39 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
No87ยข$643.92+$96.22
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27
Yes94ยข$708.39+$46.82
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27
Yes93ยข$784.44+$59.04
See every position across 157 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Los Angeles D wins
    $619.68 on Yes at 53ยข, Oct 6
    +$546.48
  2. 2
    yes Los Angeles D,no Over 10.5 runs scored
    $384.47 on Yes at 43ยข, Oct 7
    +$518.04
  3. 3
    no ARI Cardinals wins by over 9.5 points,no DAL Cowboys wins by over 6.5 points,no TB Buccaneers wins by over 6.5 points,no CHI Bears wins by over 13.5 points,yes Over 35.5 points
    $167.89 on Yes at 32ยข, Oct 4
    +$356.77
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?86ยข9968%-$648.15
Atlanta wins93ยข13100%+$176.32
Carolina wins87ยข3100%+$151.17
San Diego wins81ยข8100%+$199.35
Alicia Dudeney wins85ยข3100%+$163.77

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$149.22
Oct 2026+$282.72

Kalshi leaderboards

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