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Stats as of

polychalkkk

+$673.06
Tracked Trades
120
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 5, 2026
Best In Parlays
15% won · 85 settled · +$653.92

polychalkkk is a Kalshi trader with 120 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 17 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $673.06 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BAA4824C078-77C9B4E861A on Oct 5.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
+59%
Money traded
$4.6K
Typical trade
$9.39
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#3,921

Profit over time

+$894.00-$37.00
Jul 2Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢937%13%+7 pts
20 to 40¢1530%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢550%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢268%
Over 80¢589%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5305%-$66.97
$5 to $93018%+$330.59
$9 to $143024%+$178.14
$14 to $2.1K3019%+$231.30

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays10115%+$653.92
MMA40%-$46.59
Soccer833%+$35.67
College football350%+$25.17
Basketball2100%+$5.84
NBA20%-$0.95

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied polychalkkk

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,372.79
Profit
on $7,500.00 staked
11-64
Record
15% win rate
+58%
Return
Profit over time75 settled trades
+$5.8K+$0.00
Aug 10Sep 28
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
50% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.68×
Profit factor
$10.8K won vs $6.4K lost
+6.5 pts
Edge vs implied
15% won at 8¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

sports75 settled+58%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BAA4824C078-77C9B4E861A
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 81¢$649.63Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026102B24FA9A1-ACA38F931B3
Oct 4
Sold Nosold 94¢$2.1KExited
yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Jacoby Brissett: 150+,yes Jameis Winston: 125+,yes C.J. Stroud: 175+,yes Bo Nix: 150+,yes Brock Purdy: 150+,yes Bryce Young: 150+,yes Jared Goff: 175+,yes Jordan Love: 150+,yes Joe Burrow: 200+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 175+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 150+,yes Justin Herbert: 125+,yes Matthew Stafford: 175+,yes Jalen Hurts: 125+,yes Kyler Murray: 125+,yes Josh Allen: 150+,yes Drake Maye: 150+,yes Geno Smith: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Cam Ward: 125+,yes Jeremiyah Love: 40+,yes Cam Skattebo: 40+,yes Bo Nix: 10+,yes J.K. Dobbins: 40+,yes Brock Purdy: 10+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 40+,yes Kaelon Black: 10+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 60+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 50+,yes Jalen Hurts: 10+,yes Saquon Barkley: 50+,yes Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+,yes Josh Allen: 20+,yes James Cook III: 50+,yes Drake Maye: 10+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+,yes Lamar Jackson: 20+
Oct 4
Yes0¢$4.57-$4.57
See every position across 96 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cong Wang,yes Damian Pinas,yes Paddy Pimblett,yes Mario Bautista
    $28.17 on Yes at 8¢, Jul 11
    +$311.23
  2. 2
    yes Mississippi St.,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacksonville,yes Sam Darnold: 225+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
    $9.37 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 27
    +$203.58
  3. 3
    yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes Golden State,yes Washington
    $9.36 on Yes at 4¢, Aug 28
    +$203.37
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026102B24FA9A1-ACA38F931B31+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BAA4824C078-77C9B4E861A1+$0.00
yes Over 20.5 1H points scored,yes Minnesota,yes Dallas wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 39.5 points scored8¢20%-$23.47
yes Memphis,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Chicago,yes Phoenix15¢2100%+$160.37
yes Baltimore,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Mackenzie Dern,yes Charles Johnson,yes Donte Johnson8¢2100%+$178.48

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 8Oct 5

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$257.00
Aug 2026+$569.10
Sep 2026+$1.94
Oct 2026-$154.98

Kalshi leaderboards

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