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Stats as of
pons420
+$5.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 664
- First Seen
- Mar 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 47% won · 62 settled · +$3.2K
pons420 is a Kalshi trader with 664 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 191 wins and 436 losses on settled markets, $5.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026FVV6655OJFBMEHDO-URAASSZ4F on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $130.1K
- Typical trade
- $129.75
- Avg entry
- 19¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,383
Profit over time
+$16.3K-$866.00
Mar 22Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22211%13%+2 pts
20 to 40¢21829%28%-1 pts
40 to 60¢17748%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢2367%65%-2 pts
Over 80¢2495%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9316622%+$5.0K
$93 to $12816629%+$2.7K
$131 to $22816633%-$2.3K
$231 to $2.9K16640%+$540.69
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays35117%-$1.6K
Soccer14141%-$521.60
NBA6247%+$3.2K
College football2252%+$2.6K
NFL1647%+$2.0K
College basketball2540%-$1.2K
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied pons420
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$3,397.64
Profit
on $28,900.00 staked
64-225
Record
22% win rate
+12%
Return
+$9.5K-$1.3K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$7.0K
Max drawdown
67% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$25.9K won vs $22.5K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 19
- Deepest drawdown
- 141 trades
By category
sports289 settled+12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026FVV6655OJFBMEHDO-URAASSZ4F
Nov 1
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Buffalo,yes Minnesota
Nov 1
Liverpool wins 1st Half
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.8Kyes Denver,yes Las Vegas,yes Seattle,yes San Francisco wins by over 20.5 points$93.14 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 20
- 2+$2.2Kyes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes New Mexico St.,yes Cleveland$282.41 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 1
- 3+$1.7KIdaho wins$218.62 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Bayern Munich wins 1st Half,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Espanyol,yes Monaco,yes Sassuolo6¢20%-$169.25
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026FVV6655OJFBMEHDO-URAASSZ4F1+$0.00
Will Tie win the 1st Half?42¢757%-$10.07
Will USA win the 1st Half?41¢560%+$600.47
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026BDE261C5939-30525A2C6111+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$384.29
Apr 2026-$563.86
May 2026+$1.3K
Jun 2026+$7.0K
Jul 2026-$4.7K
Aug 2026+$113.41
Sep 2026+$8.5K
Oct 2026-$5.8K
Nov 2026-$281.01
Kalshi leaderboards
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