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Stats as of

Kalshi

poor.tree

+$742.91
Tracked Trades
878
First Seen
Oct 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Parlays
39% won · 603 settled · +$2.1K

poor.tree is a Kalshi trader with 878 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 256 wins and 360 losses on settled markets, $742.91 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Leverkusen,yes Leipzig,yes Portsmouth,yes Middlesbrough,yes Wolverhampton,yes Rosenborg,yes Feyenoord,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Olympiacos,yes Fenerbahce,yes Bursa on Oct 31.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$38.8K
Typical trade
$19.04
Avg entry
22¢
Kalshi rank
#3,066

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$1.3K
Oct 4Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2357%13%+5 pts
20 to 40¢21630%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢19750%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢13169%59%-10 pts
Over 80¢9991%87%-4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $622031%+$27.46
$6 to $1922038%+$86.03
$19 to $4721945%-$823.36
$47 to $2.1K21949%+$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays80240%+$1.2K
Soccer4462%-$352.25
Tennis2356%+$6.38
Hockey3100%+$44.86
Baseball467%-$82.02
NFL10%-$36.91

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied poor.tree

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,106.59
Profit
on $59,800.00 staked
251-347
Record
42% win rate
-4%
Return
Profit over time598 settled trades
+$0.00-$2.2K
Sep 28Oct 26
-$5.6K
Max drawdown
446% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$32.6K won vs $34.7K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
285 trades

By category

sports598 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Leverkusen,yes Leipzig,yes Portsmouth,yes Middlesbrough,yes Wolverhampton,yes Rosenborg,yes Feyenoord,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Olympiacos,yes Fenerbahce,yes Bursa
Oct 31
Yes1¢$92.50-$92.50
yes Birmingham,yes Norwich,yes Stoke wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Both Teams To Score,yes Chelsea wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Both Teams To Score,yes Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Al-Taawoun,yes Pendik,yes Racing Club
Oct 31
Yes20¢$85.18-$85.18
Tie is the result
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 78¢$373.58Exited
See every position across 602 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Astros de Jalisco,yes Soles de Mexicali,yes Calgary,yes Florida,yes Boston
    $178.86 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 31
    +$478.71
  2. 2
    yes Club Brugge,yes Sporting CP,yes PSG,yes Galatasaray
    $287.78 on Yes at 40¢, Oct 30
    +$430.09
  3. 3
    yes Cruzeiro,yes Flamengo,no Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes South Carolina St.,yes Utah,yes Tampa Bay
    $94.64 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 29
    +$388.22
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Bucaramanga,yes Club Atletico La Paz,yes Tie,yes Atlas,yes Juarez,yes Pumas UNAM,yes Astros de Jalisco,yes Soles de Mexicali,yes Los Angeles L,yes Kent St.,yes Calgary wins by over 2.5 goals,yes El Paso Locomotive FC4¢20%-$93.55
Tie is the result57¢833%-$412.18
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TWBBIETX647SIVI6-SJQAISW7X1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ICQBUQM6LRCHTZS7-QVYGU363P1+$0.00
yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Tie,no Atalanta wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored39¢20%-$191.82

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$742.91

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