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Stats as of

Poppy16

poppy16

-$2.2K
Tracked Trades
208
First Seen
Jun 2, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In College football
72% won · 29 settled · +$78

Poppy16 is a Kalshi trader with 208 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 51 wins and 138 losses on settled markets, -$2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Appalachian St. wins on Oct 23.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
-14%
Money traded
$27.3K
Typical trade
$47
Avg entry
10¢
Kalshi rank
#5,691

Profit over time

+$187-$4.7K
Jun 2Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢948%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢5031%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢3450%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1969%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢1193%50%-43 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $215224%-$171
$21 to $475217%-$14
$48 to $975226%-$1.5K
$97 to $4.1K5243%-$524

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays11110%-$1.9K
Soccer7442%-$479
NFL4100%+$174
Baseball333%-$20
College football675%+$135
US politics30%-$98

Side taken

Yes 90%10% No

If you had copied Poppy16

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$843
Profit
on $9700 staked
29-68
Record
30% win rate
+9%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time97 settled trades
+$843-$1.4K
Aug 24Oct 19
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
439% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$7.6K won vs $6.8K lost
+4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
42 trades

By category

sports93 settled+12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $95

The markets Poppy16 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Poppy16 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Appalachian St. wins
Oct 23, 2 fills
Yes34¢$62+$121
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Chicago
Oct 22
Yes25¢$143+$425
yes Bournemouth,yes Salzburg,yes SL Benfica,yes Hoffenheim
Oct 22
Yes60¢$195-$195
See every position across 158 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Argentina,yes Canada,yes Russia,yes Alabama,yes England,yes Spain,yes Iceland,yes Switzerland
    $476 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 3
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    no Both Teams To Score,yes USA,yes Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $141 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 3
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    Spain vs Cape Verde Winner?
    $47 on Yes at 7¢, Jun 15
    +$624
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Reg Time: Palmeiras,yes America,yes Cruz Azul,yes Monterrey,yes Santos Laguna,yes Toluca,yes Cincinnati,yes Birmingham Legion FC,yes Louisville City1¢20%-$23
no Both Teams To Score,yes USA,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Toronto7¢20%-$141
yes Montenegro,yes France,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Sweden1¢20%-$14
yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes San Diego,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y1¢20%-$10
yes France,yes Italy,yes Montenegro,yes Sweden,yes Tie6¢20%-$47

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$3.1K
Jul 2026-$425
Aug 2026-$192
Sep 2026-$462
Oct 2026+$2.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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