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Stats as of

prepared.ponies

+$2.1K
Tracked Trades
239
First Seen
Oct 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Soccer
26% won · 58 settled · +$2.1K

prepared.ponies is a Kalshi trader with 239 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 118 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philip Sekulic wins on Oct 23.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$25.4K
Typical trade
$16
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#3,873

Profit over time

+$3.7K-$315
Oct 5Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢247%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢8035%43%+7 pts
40 to 60¢9450%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢4064%8%-56 pts
Over 80¢199%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $26035%-$4
$2 to $166015%-$196
$16 to $696040%-$164
$73 to $2.0K5945%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays2433%+$2.0K
Soccer8426%+$2.1K
Baseball625%-$1.7K
MMA5415%-$1.8K
NFL1075%+$475
Tennis5867%+$464

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied prepared.ponies

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2798
Profit
on $18000 staked
62-118
Record
34% win rate
-16%
Return
Profit over time180 settled trades
+$0-$6.1K
Oct 5Oct 19
-$8.3K
Max drawdown
639% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$9.0K won vs $11.8K lost
-11.7 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
34
Deepest drawdown
140 trades

By category

sports179 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philip Sekulic wins
Oct 23, 3 fills
Yes40¢$192-$192
Casey Hoole wins
Oct 23, 16 fills
Sold Nosold 46¢$320Exited
Casey Hoole wins
Oct 23, 24 fills
Yes36¢$251+$446
See every position across 51 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Besiktas wins
    $570 on Yes at 26¢, Oct 15
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SH6K5DYKVD2GZIM3-KZCOUR5YK
    $939 on Yes at 38¢, Oct 22
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Real Madrid wins
    $944 on Yes at 45¢, Oct 14
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
1st inning: Over 0.5 runs58¢20%-$1.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TXLIZWL7WOYKKOKA-VUV7SMIFM71¢1100%+$804
New England wins32¢20%-$320
Besiktas wins26¢2100%+$1.6K
Real Madrid wins45¢1100%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$2.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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