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Stats as of
real818
+$2.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,227
- First Seen
- Aug 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 54% won · 644 settled · +$4.4K
real818 is a Kalshi trader with 1,227 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 375 wins and 516 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VQQE5DZVOQUEJ5K6-Z5NN33ZZL on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $75.3K
- Typical trade
- $41.00
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,664
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$4.4K
Aug 24Nov 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2458%9%+0 pts
20 to 40¢24131%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢36949%55%+6 pts
60 to 80¢25070%78%+8 pts
Over 80¢12290%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2330743%-$72.95
$23 to $4130748%+$320.26
$41 to $6730739%+$1.7K
$67 to $2.7K30637%+$34.17
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin92854%+$4.4K
Parlays2597%-$2.1K
Baseball750%+$41.41
Weather1825%-$50.30
NBA10%-$145.99
Tennis20%-$96.88
Side taken
Yes 63%37% No
If you had copied real818
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$785.26
Profit
on $51,800.00 staked
188-330
Record
36% win rate
-2%
Return
+$0.00-$8.0K
Aug 24Nov 2
-$11.3K
Max drawdown
579% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$32.2K won vs $33.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 466 trades
By category
crypto319 settled+3%
sports190 settled-9%
culture7 settled-34%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VQQE5DZVOQUEJ5K6-Z5NN33ZZL
Nov 8
yes Utah,yes Clemson,yes Texas,yes UCLA,no Over 49.5 points,yes Washington
Nov 7, 2 fills
yes Target Price: $75,743.66,yes Utah,yes Clemson,yes Texas,yes UCLA,no Over 49.5 points,yes Washington
Nov 7, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.4Kyes Utah,yes Clemson,yes Texas,yes UCLA,no Over 49.5 points,yes Washington$140.52 on Yes at 4¢, Nov 7
- 2+$2.9Kyes Target Price: $75,743.66,yes Utah,yes Clemson,yes Texas,yes UCLA,no Over 49.5 points,yes Washington$46.51 on Yes at 2¢, Nov 7
- 3+$1.3Kyes Cincinnati,yes Los Angeles D,yes Washington$46.75 on Yes at 4¢, Aug 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43¢92754%+$4.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202652INFEZTQX2BFTGD-DBBLNSBOZ1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E5RNUZTRAFAG6PMF-BYENOCXQP1+$0.00
yes Target Price: $77,165.99,no Over 7.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored19¢30%-$141.94
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VQQE5DZVOQUEJ5K6-Z5NN33ZZL1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$404.99
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026-$1.9K
Nov 2026+$5.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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