Stats as of
realbaddmann
+$3.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 999
- First Seen
- Sep 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 31% won · 35 settled · +$2.8K
realbaddmann is a Kalshi trader with 999 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 172 wins and 249 losses on settled markets, $3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Baltimore wins on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +46%
- Money traded
- $22.5K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 26¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,563
Profit over time
+$4.0K-$198
Sep 14Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2758%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢21830%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢15049%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢19469%58%-11 pts
Over 80¢16292%92%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125025%-$10
$1 to $625034%-$58
$6 to $2325042%-$73
$23 to $1.1K24965%+$4.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin40854%+$1.2K
NFL4631%+$2.8K
Parlays10829%+$12
Ethereum11229%-$125
Tennis8537%+$69
Other crypto1013%-$67
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied realbaddmann
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$7546
Profit
on $42100 staked
172-249
Record
41% win rate
-18%
Return
166 still open
+$0-$7.9K
Sep 14Oct 12
-$11.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$17.4K won vs $24.9K lost
-3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 37
- Deepest drawdown
- 241 trades
By category
finance13 settled-11%
crypto291 settled-12%
sports117 settled-34%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
79 open positions worth $1.6K
The markets realbaddmann is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Baltimore wins
Oct 12
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 2 fills
AUD/USD price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0KSan Francisco wins$1.1K on Yes at 37¢, Oct 11
- 2+$960San Francisco wins$614 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 11
- 3+$857BTC price up in next 15 mins?$629 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?38¢40854%+$1.2K
San Francisco wins37¢13100%+$3.0K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?39¢11229%-$125
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?29¢51+$0
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?32¢483%-$67
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$167
Oct 2026+$4.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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