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Stats as of
recent.firefly2901
+$4.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 164
- First Seen
- Apr 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 3% won · 93 settled · +$6.8K
recent.firefly2901 is a Kalshi trader with 164 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 141 losses on settled markets, $4.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026N2QPZOWTCUYY7XKH-VLKVNBJLB on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 9%
- Return on settled
- +50%
- Money traded
- $14.4K
- Typical trade
- $36.36
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,690
Profit over time
+$4.6K-$3.3K
Apr 14Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1004%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢4530%10%-20 pts
40 to 60¢1747%44%-3 pts
60 to 80¢165%
Over 80¢199%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9410%-$204.79
$9 to $36410%-$711.92
$37 to $95416%-$1.8K
$95 to $4.3K4131%+$7.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer6719%-$2.1K
Parlays943%+$6.8K
MMA30%-$142.84
Side taken
Yes 100%0% No
If you had copied recent.firefly2901
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,201.05
Profit
on $5,400.00 staked
5-49
Record
9% win rate
-41%
Return
+$0.00-$2.6K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$4.1K
Max drawdown
1362% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.55×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $4.9K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
9% won at 11¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 49 trades
By category
sports54 settled-41%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Real Betis,yes Cruz Azul,yes Dallas,yes Atalanta
Nov 8, 2 fills
Barcelona wins
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Barcelona,yes America,yes Paris FC,yes Nashville
Nov 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.3Kyes Real Betis,yes Cruz Azul,yes Dallas,yes Atalanta$374.58 on Yes at 6¢, Nov 7
- 2+$1.9Kyes Miami,yes Bayern Munich$473.20 on Yes at 20¢, Nov 1
- 3+$612.36PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?$481.14 on Yes at 44¢, Apr 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026N2QPZOWTCUYY7XKH-VLKVNBJLB1+$0.00
Bayern Munich vs PSG Winner?26¢20%-$760.85
Barcelona wins50¢1100%+$483.10
PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?44¢1100%+$612.36
yes Miami,yes Bayern Munich20¢1100%+$1.9K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$498.28
May 2026-$1.4K
Jul 2026-$499.83
Aug 2026-$518.14
Sep 2026-$356.02
Nov 2026+$8.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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