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Stats as of
risk.doubt
+$93
- Tracked Trades
- 352
- First Seen
- Dec 24, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 12% won · 136 settled · +$155
risk.doubt is a Kalshi trader with 352 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 30 wins and 184 losses on settled markets, $93 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+ on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 14%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $29.2K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,553
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$90
Dec 24Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1537%7%+0 pts
20 to 40¢5427%28%+1 pts
40 to 60¢2350%28%-22 pts
60 to 80¢3171%0%-71 pts
Over 80¢9193%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $78813%-$32
$7 to $198810%-$79
$19 to $608820%+$626
$61 to $1.5K8817%-$422
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays21712%+$155
NFL10713%+$19
Baseball820%-$63
College football933%+$1
Tennis20%-$37
Hockey450%+$3
Side taken
Yes 60%40% No
If you had copied risk.doubt
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$887
Profit
on $19000 staked
28-162
Record
15% win rate
+5%
Return
+$5.9K+$0
Sep 28Oct 12
-$6.1K
Max drawdown
87% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$17.1K won vs $16.2K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
15% won at 16¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 34
- Deepest drawdown
- 169 trades
By category
sports190 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+
Oct 12
no BAL Ravens wins by over 6.5 points,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+
Oct 12
Derrick Henry: 2+ touchdowns
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$457yes Trey McBride: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+$46 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 11
- 2+$361yes Tucker Kraft: 1+,yes Mike Gesicki: 1+$23 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 4
- 3+$349yes Drake London: 70+,yes Bijan Robinson: 70+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Alvin Kamara: 1+$41 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E16211BEC69-FE7AB25FFE61+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S202610784DC9FA3-C501AC16A601+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026A10DCC3A47B-335E9599F451+$0
yes Jaylen Waddle: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+3¢20%-$28
yes Christian McCaffrey: 2+,yes Bijan Robinson11¢20%-$78
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$58
Jan 2026-$40
Oct 2026+$191
Kalshi leaderboards
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