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Stats as of

roadkill498498

-$425.90
Tracked Trades
332
First Seen
Nov 4, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In MMA
64% won · 45 settled · +$1.7K

roadkill498498 is a Kalshi trader with 332 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, -$425.90 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Seattle wins by over 16.5 points? on Oct 26.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$23.0K
Typical trade
$93.33
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#5,577

Profit over time

+$115.00-$1.9K
Nov 4Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢399%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢2931%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢2250%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢1969%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢3788%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $143722%-$9.47
$15 to $943718%-$334.44
$94 to $2153650%+$654.02
$236 to $2.9K3643%-$736.01

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment10433%-$1.9K
MMA3452%+$1.7K
Soccer60%-$248.35
NFL10%-$46.91
Parlays10%-$9.42

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied roadkill498498

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$186.74
Profit
on $2,100.00 staked
9-12
Record
43% win rate
-9%
Return
8 still open
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$38.17-$425.19
Aug 10Oct 26
-$617.35
Max drawdown
362% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$1.0K won vs $1.2K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
10 trades

By category

culture8 settled-8%
sports13 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $681.04

The markets roadkill498498 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what roadkill498498 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points?
Oct 26, 2 fills
No6¢$46.91-$46.91
Fight goes the distance?
Oct 24, 5 fills
No34¢$284.34+$560.97
Ramazonbek Temirov wins
Oct 24
Yes49¢$289.66-$289.66
See every position across 51 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Islam Makhachev win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?
    $2.9K on Yes at 74¢, Aug 16
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?
    $346.40 on Yes at 34¢, Sep 15
    +$678.60
  3. 3
    Fight goes the distance?
    $284.34 on No at 34¢, Oct 24
    +$560.97
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Islam Makhachev win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?74¢1100%+$1.0K
The Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score?27¢110%-$772.09
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?43¢925%-$575.74
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars?38¢35+$0.00
Will Donald Trump be in the Top 5 on Google’s Year in Search 2025 Global – People?27¢40%-$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$114.95
Dec 2025-$1.1K
Jan 2026-$168.32
Mar 2026-$372.91
May 2026+$257.22
Jun 2026+$585.28
Jul 2026-$1.2K
Aug 2026+$1.0K
Sep 2026-$490.17
Oct 2026+$893.98

Kalshi leaderboards

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