rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment rogue.sword trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on rogue.sword

Stats as of

rogue.sword

-$160
Tracked Trades
35
First Seen
Oct 31, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026

rogue.sword is a Kalshi trader with 35 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, -$160 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress? on Oct 21.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
-46%
Money traded
$1.8K
Typical trade
$20
Avg entry
42¢
Kalshi rank
#5,068

Profit over time

+$0-$160
Oct 31Jan 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢49%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢731%0%-31 pts
40 to 60¢852%0%-51 pts
60 to 80¢1071%86%+14 pts
Over 80¢688%50%-38 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9950%-$15
$9 to $20933%-$34
$23 to $48940%-$86
$48 to $292850%-$25

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections100%-$33
World politics70%-$24
US politics1338%-$124
Mentions4100%+$29
Economic data10%-$9

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied rogue.sword

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 7 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $1.3K

The markets rogue.sword is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rogue.sword is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?
Jan 16
Yes39¢$13Void
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?
Jan 12
Yes23¢$24-$24
Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
Jan 10
Sold Nosold 39¢$55Exited
See every position across 19 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the White House Press Secretary say Clean CR / Clean Continuing Resolution at her next press briefing?
    $48 on Yes at 66¢, Oct 31
    +$25
  2. 2
    Will the President's approval rating be below 40 according to RealClearPolitics?
    $49 on No at 76¢, Oct 31
    +$15
  3. 3
    Will Powell say Layoff at his Dec 2025 press conference?
    $19 on Yes at 83¢, Nov 27
    +$4
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?39¢4+$0
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?63¢2+$0
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?38¢1+$0
Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?60¢3+$0
Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025?57¢20%-$97

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$57
Nov 2025-$80
Jan 2026-$24

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies rogue.sword.

Bring rogue.sword into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.