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Stats as of

rough.cell

+$920
Tracked Trades
329
First Seen
Apr 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In Baseball
53% won · 38 settled · +$564

rough.cell is a Kalshi trader with 329 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 123 wins and 157 losses on settled markets, $920 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles R wins on Oct 13.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$28.2K
Typical trade
$47
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#3,580

Profit over time

+$2.0K-$735
Apr 7Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢649%4%-5 pts
20 to 40¢9030%35%+5 pts
40 to 60¢10349%52%+3 pts
60 to 80¢2768%96%+28 pts
Over 80¢4593%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $188332%-$158
$18 to $478238%+$190
$47 to $948254%+$784
$94 to $1.9K8252%+$103

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays14228%+$21
NFL1458%-$337
Tennis6651%+$25
Baseball4153%+$564
Soccer975%+$321
College football2218%+$27

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied rough.cell

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$524
Profit
on $16800 staked
77-91
Record
46% win rate
+3%
Return
Profit over time168 settled trades
+$1.6K+$0
Jul 27Oct 12
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
92% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$9.6K won vs $9.1K lost
+2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
85 trades

By category

sports154 settled+3%
crypto14 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 93¢$1.9KExited
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13, 2 fills
Yes48¢$965-$965
yes Felix Auger-Aliassime,yes Arthur Fils,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Tommy Paul
Oct 12
Yes26¢$95-$95
See every position across 220 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Mark Andrews: 4+,yes Drake London: 40+,yes Mark Andrews: 25+,yes Zay Flowers: 40+
    $377 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 12
    +$745
  2. 2
    yes Alejandro Tabilo,yes Chicago WS,yes Chicago C,yes Boston
    $47 on Yes at 7¢, Jul 30
    +$675
  3. 3
    Jacksonville wins
    $385 on Yes at 47¢, Oct 4
    +$435
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles R wins48¢30%-$965
yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Milwaukee,yes Detroit,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs5¢20%-$47
yes Detroit,yes Tampa Bay,yes Minnesota,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D10¢30%-$94
yes Holger Rune,yes Roman Safiullin,yes Yibing Wu28¢20%-$195
yes Boston,yes New York Y,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Minnesota6¢20%-$47

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$102
Jun 2026-$477
Jul 2026+$473
Aug 2026+$625
Sep 2026-$430
Oct 2026+$629

Kalshi leaderboards

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