Stats as of
Saffr0n
saffr0n
+$3.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,336
- First Seen
- Aug 2, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 18% won · 426 settled · +$4.1K
Saffr0n is a Kalshi trader with 1,336 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 248 wins and 648 losses on settled markets, $3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026516272BBACB-27B155A635C on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 28%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $129.3K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,713
Profit over time
+$4.4K-$1.8K
Aug 2Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5017%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢25430%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢38749%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢15768%57%-11 pts
Over 80¢3791%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $533427%-$258
$5 to $1933420%+$493
$19 to $7333430%+$3.8K
$74 to $12K33435%-$650
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays77520%+$5.5K
Soccer33036%-$916
Esports11633%-$1.3K
MMA9160%+$511
Baseball2418%-$395
Side taken
Yes 73%27% No
If you had copied Saffr0n
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1361
Profit
on $89600 staked
248-648
Record
28% win rate
+2%
Return
101 still open
+$5.8K-$10.5K
Jul 27Oct 5
-$17.6K
Max drawdown
264% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$66.2K won vs $64.8K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 42
- Deepest drawdown
- 623 trades
By category
sports39 settled+304%
other857 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
88 open positions worth $4.0K
The markets Saffr0n is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026516272BBACB-27B155A635C
Oct 6
yes Los Angeles D,yes Detroit
Oct 5
yes San Francisco,yes Detroit
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.1Kyes Milwaukee,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Payton Talbott by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Damian Pinas by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Anthony Wint by KO/TKO/DQ,yes LOUD$46 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 3
- 2+$3.4KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264E97D45103C-487A748C31A$948 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 25
- 3+$1.5Kyes Boca Juniors,yes Cruz Azul,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes NRG$87 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
no Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes England,yes Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Payton Talbott,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Anthony Wint,yes Jacobe Smith by KO/TKO/DQ0¢30%-$23
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026504A8CEBD21-C201D8D10E517¢20%-$944
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B8BF02EEC21-020A4E99A0911¢20%-$668
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265D1AC357ECF-E9FA8B57D4312¢20%-$613
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263FED6C30833-964EBCFEF6F1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$4.0K
Sep 2026-$5.7K
Oct 2026+$5.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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