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Stats as of
sebastianlmn
+$1.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 629
- First Seen
- Aug 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 40% won · 43 settled · +$2.1K
sebastianlmn is a Kalshi trader with 629 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 122 wins and 267 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265ZYEIO7ZXZJBSY4M-BKDNWIBLP on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $35.6K
- Typical trade
- $19.08
- Avg entry
- 24¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,051
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$721.00
Aug 7Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12210%10%+0 pts
20 to 40¢25131%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢10650%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢7869%78%+9 pts
Over 80¢7290%50%-40 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $615829%+$28.21
$6 to $1915726%-$312.28
$19 to $5115731%-$105.52
$51 to $1.9K15746%+$2.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin53328%-$793.76
Parlays6140%+$2.1K
Boxing2100%+$91.54
Soccer467%+$84.17
Commodities1945%+$21.02
NFL2100%+$36.49
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied sebastianlmn
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,107.43
Profit
on $25,700.00 staked
90-167
Record
35% win rate
+4%
Return
+$1.1K-$1.2K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
4516% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$17.8K won vs $16.7K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 32¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 118 trades
By category
sports47 settled+34%
finance7 settled+29%
crypto201 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265ZYEIO7ZXZJBSY4M-BKDNWIBLP
Oct 23
no M´gladbach,no Uni Catolica,no Bolton,no Malaga,no Asociacion Deportiva Tarma,no Cajamarca,yes Al Ahli Saudi,yes Al Nassr,no Diriyah Club
Oct 23
yes Stuttgart,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Alaves,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes Portland,yes Toronto,yes Al Ahli Saudi,yes Al Nassr,yes Al-Ittihad,yes Al Hilal
Oct 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026C67B834E370-5697CC6471B$957.28 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 11
- 2+$666.13yes Over 0.5 1H goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$480.39 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 10
- 3+$642.36yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$359.76 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢53328%-$793.76
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265ZYEIO7ZXZJBSY4M-BKDNWIBLP1+$0.00
yes Leverkusen,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Real Madrid,yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes New England7¢20%-$93.79
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20268D0A99BC98B-1F4B209A04643¢10%-$961.37
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026C67B834E370-5697CC6471B36¢1100%+$1.7K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$694.99
Sep 2026+$84.24
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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