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Stats as of
sebastianv
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 71
- First Seen
- Jan 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 13% won · 60 settled · +$1.2K
sebastianv is a Kalshi trader with 71 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 56 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026OARTONIXRJHXVWSG-SWJAEZTXC on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 16%
- Return on settled
- +56%
- Money traded
- $3.5K
- Typical trade
- $18.91
- Avg entry
- 7¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,091
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$261.00
Jan 9Nov 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢588%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢726%29%+3 pts
40 to 60¢144%0%-44 pts
60 to 80¢175%100%+25 pts
Over 80¢487%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $141811%+$81.03
$14 to $191811%-$157.41
$19 to $471812%-$81.29
$47 to $1.2K1736%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays6313%+$1.2K
NFL1100%+$80.52
Commodities3100%+$26.26
Bitcoin30%-$103.40
College football10%-$18.40
Side taken
Yes 96%4% No
If you had copied sebastianv
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,743.04
Profit
on $4,600.00 staked
7-39
Record
15% win rate
+38%
Return
+$1.7K-$800.00
Aug 31Nov 2
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.45×
Profit factor
$5.6K won vs $3.9K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
15% won at 13¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 15 trades
By category
sports42 settled+45%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Jacksonville,yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes New York G,yes Kansas City
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Jacoby Brissett: 1+,yes Dak Prescott: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 1+,yes Matthew Stafford: 1+,yes Drake Maye: 1+,yes Joe Burrow: 1+,yes Jacoby Brissett: 200+,yes Dak Prescott: 225+,yes Lamar Jackson: 200+,yes Josh Allen: 200+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 200+,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes Drake Maye: 200+,yes Joe Burrow: 225+
Nov 1
yes Puka Nacua: 70+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 60+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 40+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+
Oct 25
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Jacksonville,yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes New York G,yes Kansas City$51.45 on Yes at 4¢, Nov 5
- 2+$721.18yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+$46.85 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 25
- 3+$219.84yes Dalton Kincaid,yes Travis Etienne Jr.,yes Buffalo$9.16 on Yes at 4¢, Jan 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026OARTONIXRJHXVWSG-SWJAEZTXC1+$0.00
Green Bay at Chicago Winner?75¢1100%+$80.52
Gold price up in next 15 mins?83¢3100%+$26.26
yes Josh Allen: 225+,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes Puka Nacua: 5+,yes Khalil Shakir: 25+,yes James Cook III: 50+,yes Kyren Williams: 50+18¢10%-$189.09
yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Seattle28¢20%-$142.81
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$181.86
Feb 2026-$129.44
Mar 2026-$7.39
May 2026-$23.10
Jun 2026-$23.90
Sep 2026+$249.48
Oct 2026-$300.21
Nov 2026+$1.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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