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Stats as of

shiftysean2

+$281.56
Tracked Trades
587
First Seen
Dec 30, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Esports
64% won · 188 settled · +$697.23

shiftysean2 is a Kalshi trader with 587 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 301 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, $281.56 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the House in 2026? on Nov 2.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$18.5K
Typical trade
$24.33
Avg entry
59¢
Kalshi rank
#4,540

Profit over time

+$415.00-$876.00
Dec 30Oct 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2812%19%+7 pts
20 to 40¢10131%40%+8 pts
40 to 60¢17050%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢12168%77%+9 pts
Over 80¢7486%85%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1012444%-$0.90
$10 to $2412455%-$0.42
$24 to $4212371%+$455.39
$42 to $1.6K12368%-$172.51

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports17861%+$697.23
Soccer15364%+$251.62
US elections30%-$6.97
NBA1338%-$207.87
World politics4880%+$222.76
Hockey840%-$534.08

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied shiftysean2

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,754.33
Profit
on $34,100.00 staked
214-127
Record
63% win rate
+8%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time341 settled trades
+$2.8K-$87.64
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
67% below peak
2.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$15.5K won vs $12.7K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

politics15 settled+69%
finance7 settled+17%
sports313 settled+6%
culture5 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets shiftysean2 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what shiftysean2 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BetBoom Team wins
Oct 29
Yes37¢$21.09-$21.09
Eternal Fire wins
Oct 28
Yes79¢$60.04+$15.96
HOTU wins
Oct 28
Yes48¢$24.00+$26.00
See every position across 390 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Sao Paulo wins
    $198.90 on Yes at 51¢, Sep 19
    +$191.10
  2. 2
    Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election?
    $342.32 on No at 73¢, Sep 19
    +$127.68
  3. 3
    Full Game: Over 238.5 points scored
    $105.80 on No at 46¢, Oct 23
    +$124.20
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?94¢1+$0.00
Game 3: New York at Philadelphia: Total Points16¢20%-$161.80
Dallas at San Jose Winner?89¢20%-$445.00
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?77¢2482%+$26.15
Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election?73¢5100%+$127.68

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$99.12
Jan 2026-$450.57
Apr 2026+$84.49
May 2026-$273.04
Jul 2026-$18.20
Aug 2026-$73.80
Sep 2026+$398.98
Oct 2026+$712.82

Kalshi leaderboards

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