Stats as of
shortguy
+$349
- Tracked Trades
- 239
- First Seen
- Nov 8, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In Entertainment
- 100% won · 22 settled · +$469
shortguy is a Kalshi trader with 239 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 25 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, $349 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views? on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 68%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $15.3K
- Typical trade
- $13
- Avg entry
- 64¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,074
Profit over time
+$349-$257
Nov 8Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2012%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢4526%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢748%
60 to 80¢6874%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢9987%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $46050%-$2
$4 to $136078%+$5
$13 to $436071%+$7
$45 to $1.1K5973%+$339
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Entertainment144100%+$469
Tech and AI7420%-$121
Companies14+$0
Other sports3+$0
XRP3+$0
Ethereum1+$0
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied shortguy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$676
Profit
on $2200 staked
22-0
Record
100% win rate
+31%
Return
110 still open
+$676+$0
Sep 7Oct 5
None
Max drawdown
never fell below its peak
—
Return / drawdown
no dip to weigh against
—
Profit factor
nothing lost yet
+22.5 pts
Edge vs implied
100% won at 77¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 0
- Deepest drawdown
- 0 trades
By category
culture22 settled+31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
9 open positions worth $4.0K
The markets shortguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
Oct 11, 2 fills
Will East of Eden: Limited Series be #2 US Netflix Show on Oct 12, 2026?
Oct 9, 5 fills
Will East of Eden: Limited Series be #2 Global Netflix Show on Oct 12, 2026?
Oct 9
Biggest wins
- 1+$346Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?$1.6K on Yes at 83¢, Oct 11
- 2+$188Best AI at year end?$1.1K on Yes at 85¢, Dec 14
- 3+$109Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?$253 on No at 70¢, Nov 8
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?41¢499%-$294
Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025?77¢14+$0
Will UNABOMBER be Top US Netflix Movie on Oct 5, 2026?85¢42+$0
Will Samsung release a trifold phone this year?21¢7+$0
Best AI at year end?85¢9100%+$188
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$257
Dec 2025+$136
Oct 2026+$469
Kalshi leaderboards
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