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Stats as of
shownolarp
+$4.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 30
- First Seen
- Oct 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 47% won · 17 settled · +$2.6K
shownolarp is a Kalshi trader with 30 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 11 losses on settled markets, $4.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- +28%
- Money traded
- $25.0K
- Typical trade
- $746.65
- Avg entry
- 40¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,542
Profit over time
+$4.8K-$955.00
Oct 16Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢1335%46%+12 pts
40 to 60¢1349%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢468%100%+32 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$513 to $612850%+$881.40
$632 to $759863%+$2.9K
$769 to $959750%+$897.64
$1.1K to $1.7K750%+$153.93
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities2247%+$2.6K
Bitcoin871%+$2.3K
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied shownolarp
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$721.35
Profit
on $2,400.00 staked
13-11
Record
54% win rate
+30%
Return
-$352.94
Max drawdown
179% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.66×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $1.1K lost
+12.9 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 5 trades
By category
crypto5 settled+63%
other15 settled+16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on Yes at 47¢, Oct 17
- 2+$1.4KWTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$673.20 on No at 33¢, Oct 16
- 3+$1.3KWTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$693.60 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 16
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?37¢2247%+$2.6K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?48¢871%+$2.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$4.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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