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Stats as of

SirEli

sireli

-$3.0K
Tracked Trades
960
First Seen
Jun 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 17, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
75% won · 114 settled · +$2.5K

SirEli is a Kalshi trader with 960 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 362 wins and 281 losses on settled markets, -$3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 17.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$93.2K
Typical trade
$24
Avg entry
46¢
Kalshi rank
#5,947

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$5.9K
Jun 24Oct 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1929%4%-5 pts
20 to 40¢17929%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢21049%56%+8 pts
60 to 80¢19470%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢18590%96%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $524041%-$56
$5 to $2424052%+$52
$24 to $9524055%+$370
$95 to $2.5K24074%-$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis50254%-$1.3K
Bitcoin22475%+$2.5K
Soccer6083%-$2.9K
College football3064%-$584
Parlays4510%-$397
Baseball4835%-$513

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied SirEli

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$355
Profit
on $15800 staked
79-79
Record
50% win rate
-2%
Return
Profit over time158 settled trades
+$0-$636
Jul 27Oct 12
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
392% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$7.5K won vs $7.9K lost
+3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
93 trades

By category

crypto35 settled+12%
sports121 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 17
Yes79¢$975-$975
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16
No52¢$534+$493
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16
Yes84¢$538+$102
See every position across 309 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Nicolas Ifi win the Loge vs Ifi: M25 Brussels Round of 32 match?
    $1.4K on Yes at 57¢, Jun 24
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Will Renta Tokuda win the Tokuda vs Miyoshi: Qualification Round 1 match?
    $681 on Yes at 49¢, Jul 19
    +$715
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on Yes at 70¢, Oct 16
    +$714
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?67¢22475%+$2.5K
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?78¢767%-$2.3K
Will Elisabetta Cocciaretto win the Cocciaretto vs Tauson: Round Of 32 match?76¢3100%+$661
Will Cezar Cretu (b. 2001) win the Nagal vs Cretu: Semifinal match?25¢90%-$551
KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT03SYRCONN-SYR87¢3100%+$196

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 20Oct 17

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$3.7K
Jul 2026-$2.1K
Sep 2026+$113
Oct 2026+$2.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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