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Stats as of
smalljumbo
+$34
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Oct 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Weather
- 52% won · 597 settled · +$34
smalljumbo is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 310 wins and 287 losses on settled markets, $34 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the minimum temperature be >65° on Oct 21, 2026? on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $3.9K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Avg entry
- 57¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,820
Profit over time
+$145-$5
Oct 8Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14812%17%+5 pts
20 to 40¢20628%14%-14 pts
40 to 60¢17451%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢16269%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢31090%84%-5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125028%-$11
$1 to $125066%-$4
$1 to $425046%-$53
$4 to $9625069%+$102
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Weather100052%+$34
Side taken
Yes 41%59% No
If you had copied smalljumbo
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4491
Profit
on $59700 staked
310-287
Record
52% win rate
-8%
Return
+$165-$4.5K
Oct 5Oct 19
-$5.2K
Max drawdown
906% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$24.2K won vs $28.7K lost
-1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 142 trades
By category
culture597 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the minimum temperature be >65° on Oct 21, 2026?
Oct 22, 11 fills
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 21, 2026?
Oct 21, 21 fills
Will the minimum temperature be >65° on Oct 21, 2026?
Oct 21, 9 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$97Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 16, 2026?$117 on No at 55¢, Oct 16
- 2+$58Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 8, 2026?$75 on No at 57¢, Oct 8
- 3+$22Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?$32 on Yes at 60¢, Oct 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 16, 2026?50¢6239%+$64
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 11, 2026?92¢1650%+$3
Will the maximum temperature be 89-90° on Oct 15, 2026?79¢1960%+$1
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 20, 2026?68¢943%-$11
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 8, 2026?54¢1150%+$45
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$34
Kalshi leaderboards
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