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Stats as of

Kalshi

smell.box

-$33.89
Tracked Trades
22
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 19, 2026

smell.box is a Kalshi trader with 22 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, -$33.89 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Francisco,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Minnesota,yes New York J,yes Pittsburgh,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina,yes Brock Purdy: 2+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+,yes Jayden Daniels: 30+ on Oct 19.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
-71%
Money traded
$551.37
Typical trade
$9.34
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#5,493

Profit over time

+$4.00-$34.00
Feb 8Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢174%0%-4 pts
20 to 40¢224%
60 to 80¢274%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢199%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $260%-$0.93
$2 to $960%-$18.62
$9 to $10533%-$14.34
$18 to $3315+$0.00

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays200%-$37.44
NFL1100%+$4.48
Bitcoin10%-$0.93

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied smell.box

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$500.00
Profit
on $500.00 staked
0-5
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
10 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$0.00-$500.00
Sep 21Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

10 open positions worth $41.11

The markets smell.box is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smell.box is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Albania,yes Finland,yes Spain,yes England,yes Iceland,yes Kazakhstan,yes Slovakia,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland
Oct 6
Sold Nosold 99¢$331.13Exited
yes Albania,yes Finland,yes Spain,yes England,yes Iceland,yes Kazakhstan,yes Slovakia,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland
Oct 6
Yes3¢$9.33-$9.33
yes France,yes Italy,yes Sweden,yes Hungary,yes Albania,yes England,yes Switzerland
Oct 5, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 24¢$38.08Exited
See every position across 18 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Seattle win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?
    $9.52 on Yes at 68¢, Feb 8
    +$4.48
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Albania,yes Finland,yes Spain,yes England,yes Iceland,yes Kazakhstan,yes Slovakia,yes Scotland,yes Switzerland3¢20%-$9.33
yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota13¢20%-$9.42
yes France,yes Italy,yes Sweden,yes Hungary,yes Albania,yes England,yes Switzerland6¢3+$0.00
yes Aaron Gordon: 10+,yes Chet Holmgren: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 20+,yes Isaiah Hartenstein: 6+,no Denver wins by over 26.5 points,yes Over 199.5 points scored,yes Over 199.5 points scored,yes Over 199.5 points scored16¢1+$0.00
yes San Antonio,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes Jayson Tatum: 15+,yes Payton Pritchard: 10+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 15+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 20+,yes Boston wins by over 6.5 points9¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 22Oct 19

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$4.48
Sep 2026-$19.75
Oct 2026-$18.62

Kalshi leaderboards

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