rivomarkets

Stats as of

Smellyfingernail

smellyfingernail

+$23.1K
Tracked Trades
997
First Seen
Nov 22, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Best In MMA
38% won · 37 settled · +$23.5K

Smellyfingernail is a Kalshi trader with 997 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $23.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Miami (FL) wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+128%
Money traded
$139.4K
Typical trade
$18
Avg entry
10¢
Kalshi rank
#179

Profit over time

+$29.2K-$1.3K
Dec 20Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6612%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢5227%73%+46 pts
40 to 60¢36549%25%-24 pts
60 to 80¢39269%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢12288%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525033%-$4
$5 to $1824944%+$17
$18 to $7824925%-$68
$78 to $8.2K24927%+$23.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
MMA37238%+$23.5K
US elections2270%-$33
College football3220%-$200
NFL66100%+$1
Boxing2100%+$240
Bitcoin6+$0

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied Smellyfingernail

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$368
Profit
on $500 staked
1-4
Record
20% win rate
-74%
Return
9 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$0-$368
Aug 24Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

By category

sports5 settled-74%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $5.6K

The markets Smellyfingernail is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Smellyfingernail is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Miami (FL) wins
Sep 19, 4 fills
No4¢$200-$200
Philadelphia wins
Sep 16
Yes76¢$4+$1
Will Mauricio Ruffy win the Ruffy vs Chandler professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
Jun 15, 4 fills
No20¢$1.2K-$1.2K
See every position across 49 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026?
    $7.0K on Yes at 20¢, May 8
    +$28.0K
  2. 2
    Will Paulo Henrique Costa win the Murzakanov vs Costa professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11, 2026?
    $868 on Yes at 31¢, Apr 12
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    Will Josh Hokit win the Blaydes vs Hokit professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11, 2026?
    $493 on Yes at 53¢, Apr 12
    +$437
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Xavier Becerra finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?25¢196+$0
New York J at Baltimore Winner?50+$0
Will Ronda Rousey win the Rousey vs Carano professional MMA fight scheduled for May 16, 2026?1+$0
North Texas at Tulane Winner?44¢98+$0
Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026?20¢1100%+$28.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$240
Mar 2026-$440
Apr 2026+$1.2K
May 2026+$23.4K
Jun 2026-$1.2K
Sep 2026-$199

Kalshi leaderboards

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