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Stats as of
smokeyy27
+$5.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 199
- First Seen
- Mar 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 15% won · 26 settled · +$5.6K
smokeyy27 is a Kalshi trader with 199 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 95 losses on settled markets, $5.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262UXWSUBI3NYKEEIX-PLUG7S4GG on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +51%
- Money traded
- $20.4K
- Typical trade
- $78.47
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,409
Profit over time
+$6.6K-$387.00
Mar 4Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6111%13%+2 pts
20 to 40¢5630%28%-2 pts
40 to 60¢3647%48%+1 pts
60 to 80¢3472%50%-22 pts
Over 80¢1289%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $315025%-$167.94
$32 to $785031%-$488.74
$86 to $975027%+$3.5K
$97 to $4.7K4944%+$2.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3515%+$5.6K
Bitcoin10739%+$194.91
NBA2033%+$73.84
NFL1433%-$70.68
Tennis533%+$135.91
Soccer30%-$284.73
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied smokeyy27
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$4,653.36
Profit
on $12,500.00 staked
38-87
Record
30% win rate
+37%
Return
+$6.2K+$0.00
Oct 5Oct 26
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
29% below peak
2.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.53×
Profit factor
$13.4K won vs $8.7K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 29¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 39 trades
By category
sports58 settled+89%
crypto65 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262UXWSUBI3NYKEEIX-PLUG7S4GG
Nov 3
yes Bucky Irving: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+
Nov 1, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 31, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.8Kyes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Brighton,yes Arsenal,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Sociedad,yes Real Madrid$93.15 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 17
- 2+$1.4Kyes Christian Watson: 1+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+$100.69 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 11
- 3+$1.0Kyes George Pickens: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+,yes TB Buccaneers over 20.5 points$108.44 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 8
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?32¢8744%+$788.35
yes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Brighton,yes Arsenal,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Sociedad,yes Real Madrid2¢2100%+$4.8K
Bitcoin price on Oct 5, 2026?38¢920%-$145.46
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026THKFSKP7FW3C5SWD-NOQV3R37V1+$0.00
Milwaukee wins26¢633%+$109.30
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$4.76
Oct 2026+$5.3K
Nov 2026-$135.48
Kalshi leaderboards
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