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Stats as of
smooth.truth
+$10.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 526
- First Seen
- Jun 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 52% won · 230 settled · +$5.3K
smooth.truth is a Kalshi trader with 526 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 258 wins and 241 losses on settled markets, $10.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Seattle wins on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +15%
- Money traded
- $76.6K
- Typical trade
- $48.50
- Avg entry
- 60¢
- Kalshi rank
- #693
Profit over time
+$10.9K+$0.00
Jun 17Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4611%9%-2 pts
20 to 40¢10531%22%-9 pts
40 to 60¢18349%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢11068%70%+2 pts
Over 80¢8286%96%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1013231%-$194.74
$10 to $4913243%-$129.02
$49 to $13413154%+$354.43
$134 to $2.9K13179%+$10.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball24252%+$5.3K
College football4463%+$2.5K
NFL8539%+$473.25
Soccer9961%+$756.54
WNBA3552%+$1.6K
NBA1022%+$699.31
Side taken
Yes 46%54% No
If you had copied smooth.truth
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$625.24
Profit
on $19,000.00 staked
90-100
Record
47% win rate
-3%
Return
+$1.3K-$640.18
Aug 3Oct 26
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
142% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$9.4K won vs $10.0K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 121 trades
By category
sports180 settled-2%
other9 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Seattle wins
Oct 26
Kansas City wins by over 13.5 points?
Oct 24
Grayson Allen: 4+ threes
Oct 24, 13 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$998.86Over 12.5 1Q points scored$1.7K on Yes at 62¢, Sep 12
- 2+$967.36Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner?$672.23 on Yes at 41¢, Jul 31
- 3+$715.55Will Los Angeles L win the Los Angeles L vs Dallas Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?$585.45 on Yes at 45¢, Jul 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMLBHR-26AUG281915BOSNYY-NYYAWELLS28-191¢1100%+$285.91
Zack Littell: 6+ strikeouts?87¢2100%+$408.28
Georgia St. wins85¢1100%+$476.23
KXMLBHR-26SEP111945CINMIL-CINESUAREZ28-187¢1100%+$310.88
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26SEP05TARLBGSU-BGSU1281¢1100%+$384.74
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$2.4K
Jul 2026+$5.1K
Aug 2026+$2.1K
Sep 2026+$868.23
Oct 2026+$373.77
Kalshi leaderboards
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