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Stats as of

solar.treefrog8103

+$10.3K
Tracked Trades
2,835
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Cricket
76% won · 907 settled · +$7.6K

solar.treefrog8103 is a Kalshi trader with 2,835 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2,097 wins and 444 losses on settled markets, $10.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXWT20MATCH-26NOV020310PS-WMS-W-MS-W on Nov 2.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$1.8M
Typical trade
$135.33
Avg entry
87¢
Kalshi rank
#780

Profit over time

+$57.2K-$3.0K
Aug 20Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢656%25%+19 pts
20 to 40¢6530%43%+12 pts
40 to 60¢20153%49%-4 pts
60 to 80¢61872%70%-2 pts
Over 80¢188693%91%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1070975%+$180.39
$10 to $13570981%+$468.57
$137 to $97870985%+$2.2K
$978 to $19K70889%+$7.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Cricket102676%+$7.6K
Basketball63686%-$104.33
WNBA19288%+$5.6K
Tennis42686%+$1.0K
NFL10080%-$3.1K
College football18690%+$2.9K

Side taken

Yes 90%10% No

If you had copied solar.treefrog8103

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,069.40
Profit
on $135,500.00 staked
1105-250
Record
82% win rate
-1%
Return
Profit over time1355 settled trades
+$983.87-$1.1K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
215% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$23.9K won vs $25.0K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 82¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
993 trades

By category

culture13 settled+17%
other600 settled+1%
sports742 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXWT20MATCH-26NOV020310PS-WMS-W-MS-W
Nov 2
Yes80¢$852.06-$852.06
KXNBAGAME-26NOV01LACGSW-GSW
Nov 2
Yes94¢$863.95+$55.15
Brooklyn wins
Nov 2
Yes92¢$802.50+$69.78
See every position across 1,357 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXCPLMATCH-26AUG291900JAMTKR-JAM
    $8.2K on Yes at 39¢, Aug 30
    +$12.9K
  2. 2
    Antigua And Barbuda Falcons wins
    $8.2K on Yes at 48¢, Sep 3
    +$9.0K
  3. 3
    Guyana Amazon Warriors wins
    $17.5K on Yes at 76¢, Sep 5
    +$5.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Guyana Amazon Warriors wins75¢12262%-$19.1K
Washington wins96¢2888%+$1.3K
Golden State wins91¢3681%+$810.91
Atlanta wins95¢33100%+$2.3K
Seattle wins99¢7100%+$498.60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$24.1K
Sep 2026-$6.7K
Oct 2026-$6.4K
Nov 2026-$656.84

Kalshi leaderboards

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