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Stats as of
soup.bay
-$8.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 543
- First Seen
- May 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 6, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 58% won · 203 settled · +$2.6K
soup.bay is a Kalshi trader with 543 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 149 wins and 212 losses on settled markets, -$8.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 6.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- -11%
- Money traded
- $118.2K
- Typical trade
- $48.44
- Avg entry
- 44¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,200
Profit over time
+$398.00-$11.8K
May 1Nov 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1329%4%-4 pts
20 to 40¢11931%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢11149%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢8369%69%+0 pts
Over 80¢9892%94%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $913619%-$116.70
$9 to $4813630%-$786.46
$49 to $15113650%-$749.88
$151 to $8.9K13574%-$6.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities34158%+$2.6K
NBA2220%-$9.8K
Parlays10613%-$39.47
College football1427%-$166.69
NFL1125%-$179.52
Tennis1030%-$628.25
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied soup.bay
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,748.69
Profit
on $22,200.00 staked
106-116
Record
48% win rate
-12%
Return
+$0.00-$2.7K
Aug 31Nov 2
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$8.9K won vs $11.6K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 220 trades
By category
finance168 settled-1%
sports52 settled-50%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 6, 2 fills
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 6, 5 fills
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YERCB3NTZIYWR4IM-M76NXPZAG
Nov 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KGame 6: Cleveland at Toronto Winner?$957.76 on Yes at 37¢, May 1
- 2+$796.15Gold price up in next 15 mins?$467.58 on Yes at 37¢, Nov 3
- 3+$640.14Gold price up in next 15 mins?$873.88 on No at 58¢, Nov 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?69¢32958%+$2.6K
Game 1: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner?76¢10%-$8.9K
Game 6: Cleveland at Toronto Winner?42¢450%+$665.25
Game 6: Detroit at Orlando Winner?38¢30%-$1.2K
Orlando vs Detroit 2026 1st Round series winner?63¢450%+$219.82
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 9Nov 6
Profit by month
May 2026-$10.4K
Jun 2026+$76.31
Jul 2026-$160.36
Sep 2026-$92.86
Oct 2026-$809.50
Nov 2026+$3.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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