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Stats as of

soupy

+$483
Tracked Trades
673
First Seen
Jun 18, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 11, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
24% won · 17 settled · +$638

soupy is a Kalshi trader with 673 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 215 wins and 334 losses on settled markets, $483 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles C,yes Seattle,yes Buffalo on Oct 11.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$8.2K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
19¢
Kalshi rank
#4,594

Profit over time

+$850-$317
Jun 18Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1998%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢17930%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢14349%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢9969%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢5389%95%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $116928%-$0
$1 to $516832%-$95
$5 to $916844%-$100
$9 to $1.2K16850%+$678

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates2924%+$638
Mentions22051%-$68
Weather20232%-$59
Soccer8740%-$13
Entertainment3013%-$191
US politics2036%-$36

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied soupy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles C,yes Seattle,yes Buffalo
Oct 11
Yes2¢$5-$5
yes Green Bay,no Over 45.5 points scored
Sep 25
Yes13¢$9-$9
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
Jul 19
No91¢$91+$10
See every position across 362 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?
    $577 on Yes at 44¢, Sep 11
    +$746
  2. 2
    Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting?
    $1.2K on Yes at 79¢, Sep 9
    +$321
  3. 3
    Green Bay at Chicago Winner?
    $23 on Yes at 11¢, Jan 11
    +$190
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting?79¢1100%+$321
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?31¢160%-$455
Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?44¢8100%+$746
Opalite streams by Oct 31, 2025?8¢1323%-$101
What will Jerome Powell say during Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce 2025 Economic Outlook Luncheon on September 23rd?30¢640%-$13

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 14Oct 11

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$53
Nov 2025-$355
Dec 2025-$27
Jan 2026+$190
Feb 2026-$38
Mar 2026-$6
Apr 2026+$12
May 2026+$56
Jun 2026-$52
Jul 2026-$11
Sep 2026-$9
Oct 2026-$5

Kalshi leaderboards

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