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Stats as of
spirited.nightingale7415
-$3.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 565
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
spirited.nightingale7415 is a Kalshi trader with 565 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 153 wins and 131 losses on settled markets, -$3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Watford,yes Chelsea,yes Atletico on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $77.4K
- Typical trade
- $58.52
- Avg entry
- 62¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,252
Profit over time
+$3.0K-$4.6K
Jun 19Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3610%15%+5 pts
20 to 40¢5131%24%-7 pts
40 to 60¢7851%47%-5 pts
60 to 80¢12271%65%-6 pts
Over 80¢11192%96%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1710040%+$113.48
$17 to $5910038%-$330.24
$59 to $1929964%-$160.48
$193 to $2.2K9968%-$3.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer21757%-$2.8K
Tennis15953%-$823.49
Parlays1715%-$330.38
Esports4100%+$45.27
Cricket10%-$29.16
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied spirited.nightingale7415
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$64.30
Profit
on $9,100.00 staked
40-51
Record
44% win rate
-1%
Return
+$676.97-$1.3K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
34382% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $5.1K lost
-6.0 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 45 trades
By category
sports91 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Watford,yes Chelsea,yes Atletico
Oct 31
yes Chelsea,yes Atletico
Oct 31
yes Watford,yes Chelsea,yes Atletico
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2KSouth Africa vs Korea Republic Winner?$1.8K on Yes at 61¢, Jun 25
- 2+$772.31yes France advances,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+$755.86 on Yes at 49¢, Jul 9
- 3+$703.46Netherlands vs Sweden Winner?$971.44 on Yes at 58¢, Jun 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner?56¢650%-$565.69
Ecuador vs Germany Winner?63¢190%-$2.2K
Jordan vs Argentina Winner?87¢5100%+$334.65
Brazil vs Japan: To Advance74¢2100%+$534.86
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner?64¢450%-$886.67
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$716.28
Jul 2026-$3.0K
Aug 2026-$440.95
Sep 2026-$197.77
Oct 2026+$461.59
Kalshi leaderboards
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