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Stats as of
spoon.thought
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 576
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 11% won · 256 settled · +$2.7K
spoon.thought is a Kalshi trader with 576 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 91 wins and 367 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KHQMOTWFJXCHRFHR-LDIX7PW5R on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $37.3K
- Typical trade
- $25.34
- Avg entry
- 8¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,203
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$1.2K
Aug 20Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3137%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢11330%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢8549%51%+2 pts
60 to 80¢1867%33%-34 pts
Over 80¢4794%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914412%+$171.37
$9 to $2514417%+$2.7K
$25 to $4814420%+$186.48
$48 to $1.4K14436%-$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays31511%+$2.7K
Soccer24332%-$825.25
Tennis60%-$106.20
College football525%-$83.34
Hockey433%-$38.74
NFL30%-$104.64
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied spoon.thought
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$11,506.89
Profit
on $38,500.00 staked
77-308
Record
20% win rate
+30%
Return
+$11.5K-$241.81
Aug 17Oct 19
-$6.6K
Max drawdown
241% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.37×
Profit factor
$42.3K won vs $30.8K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 195 trades
By category
sports384 settled+30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KHQMOTWFJXCHRFHR-LDIX7PW5R
Oct 25
Fluminense wins
Oct 24
yes Fluminense,yes O'Higgins,yes Milwaukee
Oct 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6Kyes UCF,yes Minnesota,yes South Carolina,yes Wisconsin$23.33 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 24
- 2+$992.72yes Minnesota,yes Richmond,yes Houston$23.37 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 3
- 3+$700.53yes Boston College,yes UCF,yes Minnesota,yes Illinois$18.70 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026SP6INRXJIANYT7E6-GGZAEKWBM1+$0.00
Tie is the result22¢3614%-$264.92
yes Baylor,yes California,yes West Virginia,yes Michigan1¢20%-$9.33
yes Porto,yes Liverpool,yes Tie,yes Atletico2¢20%-$23.33
LDU Quito wins29¢40%-$180.24
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$253.92
Sep 2026-$0.01
Oct 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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