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Stats as of

spoon.thumb

-$7.2K
Tracked Trades
37
First Seen
Oct 10, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026

spoon.thumb is a Kalshi trader with 37 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 17 losses on settled markets, -$7.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Byron Donalds,yes Jim Pillen,yes Amy Acton,yes Greg Abbott,yes Ashley Moody,yes Jon Ossoff,yes Roy Cooper,yes Pete Ricketts,yes Darline Graham on Oct 26.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
-37%
Money traded
$43.8K
Typical trade
$475.66
Avg entry
24¢
Kalshi rank
#6,124

Profit over time

+$0.00-$7.7K
Oct 10Sep 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢89%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢726%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢1052%25%-27 pts
60 to 80¢368%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢993%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$4 to $1351014%-$299.77
$190 to $476913%-$2.0K
$482 to $1.6K960%-$249.20
$1.9K to $6.9K950%-$4.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections1214%-$3.4K
US politics1243%-$2.8K
Parlays40%-$606.78
NFL433%+$37.61
College football540%-$406.29

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied spoon.thumb

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$235.42
Profit
on $600.00 staked
2-4
Record
33% win rate
-39%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$0.00-$343.75
Aug 31Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

By category

sports6 settled-39%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $3.5K

The markets spoon.thumb is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what spoon.thumb is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Georgia wins by over 13.5 points
Sep 26
Yes48¢$482.44+$522.64
Georgia wins by over 38.5 points
Sep 14, 3 fills
Yes20¢$217.19-$217.19
yes Los Angeles C,yes Philadelphia
Sep 13
Sold Nosold 98¢$696.14Exited
See every position across 19 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days?
    $3.0K on Yes at 66¢, Oct 31
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will the federal government shut down for more than 41 days?
    $4.3K on Yes at 84¢, Nov 10
    +$838.66
  3. 3
    Georgia wins by over 13.5 points
    $482.44 on Yes at 48¢, Sep 26
    +$522.64
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election?23¢80%-$3.0K
Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?7¢20%-$488.39
Will the federal government shut down for more than 41 days?84¢2100%+$838.66
Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days?63¢567%+$752.80
Will the federal government shut down for more than 43 days?48¢10%-$4.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$2.7K
Nov 2025-$3.5K
Dec 2025-$97.94
Sep 2026-$877.52

Kalshi leaderboards

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