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Stats as of

statutory.wolf1240

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
1,279
First Seen
Aug 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
40% won · 736 settled · +$2.2K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active crypto traders who bet one side: iihslak, manimal2017, successful.koi2475

statutory.wolf1240 is a Kalshi trader with 1,279 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 300 wins and 460 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 28.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$185.9K
Typical trade
$40.93
Avg entry
41¢
Kalshi rank
#2,374

Profit over time

+$8.3K-$1.5K
Sep 6Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2009%10%+0 pts
20 to 40¢44932%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢36348%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢11869%72%+3 pts
Over 80¢14994%93%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1032031%-$195.21
$10 to $4132032%-$723.94
$41 to $12432043%-$828.74
$125 to $2.2K31953%+$3.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin124240%+$2.2K
Other crypto533%+$115.09
Commodities1630%-$413.07
Ethereum4100%+$109.82
Solana50%-$88.98
XRP350%-$13.09

Side taken

Yes 48%52% No

If you had copied statutory.wolf1240

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,118.44
Profit
on $59,600.00 staked
237-359
Record
40% win rate
-4%
Return
Profit over time596 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.1K
Aug 31Oct 26
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
3686% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$33.8K won vs $35.9K lost
+0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 40¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
474 trades

By category

crypto253 settled+3%
other341 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28, 2 fills
Yes46¢sold 17¢$668.72-$668.72
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
Sold Nosold 18¢$224.40Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28, 2 fills
Yes80¢$437.86+$109.47
See every position across 483 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $954.86 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 20
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $645.18 on No at 34¢, Sep 20
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $968.00 on No at 44¢, Sep 20
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?41¢124240%+$2.2K
BNB price up in next 15 mins?61¢350%+$134.64
Gold price up in next 15 mins?29¢917%-$416.64
ETH price up in next 15 mins?48¢4100%+$109.82
SOL price up in next 15 mins?30¢50%-$88.98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$6.4K
Oct 2026-$4.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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