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Stats as of

steinydancer

+$14.0K
Tracked Trades
342
First Seen
Nov 12, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In NFL
45% won · 148 settled · +$9.8K

steinydancer is a Kalshi trader with 342 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 131 wins and 174 losses on settled markets, $14.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago wins by over 5.5 points? on Nov 3.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$157.1K
Typical trade
$290.54
Avg entry
27¢
Kalshi rank
#509

Profit over time

+$14.7K-$5.9K
Nov 12Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢709%18%+9 pts
20 to 40¢8730%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢14449%52%+3 pts
60 to 80¢3271%70%-1 pts
Over 80¢992%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$5 to $1898629%+$2.2K
$189 to $2918648%+$8.5K
$291 to $4848538%-$4.8K
$485 to $10.0K8558%+$8.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL16645%+$9.8K
Soccer5345%+$251.84
College football5236%-$5.5K
Parlays2422%-$2.9K
NBA1557%+$9.7K
Golf950%+$3.3K

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied steinydancer

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$423.22
Profit
on $5,200.00 staked
20-32
Record
38% win rate
-8%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time52 settled trades
+$156.41-$686.41
Aug 10Nov 2
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
716% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $3.2K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

other5 settled+32%
sports47 settled-12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $5.4K

The markets steinydancer is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what steinydancer is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points?
Nov 3
Yes49¢$724.15+$753.71
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points?
Nov 1
Yes51¢$725.12-$725.12
KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI
Oct 27
Yes40¢$552.42+$828.63
See every position across 242 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $1.8K on Yes at 19¢, Jun 11
    +$7.9K
  2. 2
    Green Bay at Chicago Winner?
    $1.4K on Yes at 22¢, Jan 11
    +$5.0K
  3. 3
    Will Rory McIlroy win the Masters Tournament?
    $1.0K on Yes at 23¢, Apr 10
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Australia vs Turkiye Winner?99¢1100%+$100.99
Texas Tech wins by over 2.5 points?26¢170%-$2.9K
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points?49¢350%+$541.05
Will Chicago win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?5¢3+$0.00
Chicago wins48¢560%+$1.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$1.8K
Dec 2025+$3.0K
Jan 2026-$7.1K
Feb 2026-$165.41
Mar 2026+$504.87
Apr 2026+$3.3K
Jun 2026+$10.9K
Jul 2026-$650.72
Aug 2026+$712.42
Sep 2026-$1.3K
Oct 2026+$3.0K
Nov 2026+$28.59

Kalshi leaderboards

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