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Stats as of
stephenvincent
-$7.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 289
- First Seen
- Oct 29, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Mentions
- 50% won · 105 settled · +$866
stephenvincent is a Kalshi trader with 289 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 101 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, -$7.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 47%
- Return on settled
- -30%
- Money traded
- $38.2K
- Typical trade
- $34
- Avg entry
- 38¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,874
Profit over time
+$281-$8.2K
Oct 29Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢428%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢4329%12%-17 pts
40 to 60¢9452%47%-5 pts
60 to 80¢6565%81%+15 pts
Over 80¢4588%100%+12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $97343%-$50
$9 to $347236%-$218
$34 to $1187254%-$586
$118 to $3.1K7255%-$6.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Basketball385%-$5.7K
NBA3532%-$139
Mentions11750%+$866
US elections2123%-$1.6K
US politics3594%+$358
World politics14+$0
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied stephenvincent
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$325
Profit
on $500 staked
1-4
Record
20% win rate
-65%
Return
+$0-$325
Sep 7Oct 19
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.
By category
sports5 settled-65%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philadelphia wins
Oct 22
San Antonio wins
Oct 21
New York wins
Oct 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KWhat will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?$4.6K on Yes at 65¢, Feb 25
- 2+$879Philadelphia wins$1.2K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 22
- 3+$816Will Oklahoma City score over 108.5 points?$920 on Yes at 53¢, May 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
What will be LeBron James's next team?34¢385%-$5.7K
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?58¢8568%+$2.2K
Will New York score over 107.5 points?48¢110%-$675
Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?39¢20%-$480
Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?12¢20%-$1.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$943
Nov 2025-$559
Dec 2025+$110
Jan 2026+$39
Feb 2026+$803
May 2026+$660
Jun 2026-$2.2K
Jul 2026-$5.0K
Sep 2026-$95
Oct 2026-$134
Kalshi leaderboards
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