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Stats as of
strategic.sheep4515
+$2.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,486
- First Seen
- Aug 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 2% won · 1,119 settled · +$3.5K
strategic.sheep4515 is a Kalshi trader with 1,486 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 1,219 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026675DO6GU753J3ER5-SQQJZ2RWS on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 3%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $220.7K
- Typical trade
- $16.71
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,406
Profit over time
+$6.5K-$1.9K
Aug 8Oct 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12513%3%+0 pts
20 to 40¢3028%30%+2 pts
40 to 60¢1150%25%-25 pts
60 to 80¢2272%
Over 80¢17296%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $93721%+$3.4K
$9 to $173722%+$1.5K
$17 to $333713%-$2.4K
$33 to $5.9K37112%+$362.66
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays13052%+$3.5K
Bitcoin407%+$117.84
Soccer11113%-$277.95
Baseball148%-$832.11
NFL20%-$23.46
Tennis467%+$249.95
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied strategic.sheep4515
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$69,282.21
Profit
on $121,900.00 staked
43-1176
Record
4% win rate
+57%
Return
+$94.4K-$800.00
Aug 3Oct 19
-$33.1K
Max drawdown
33% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.59×
Profit factor
$186.9K won vs $117.6K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
4% won at 3¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 240
- Deepest drawdown
- 604 trades
By category
other645 settled+130%
sports574 settled-26%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026675DO6GU753J3ER5-SQQJZ2RWS
Oct 21
yes Boston,yes Carolina,yes Seattle,yes San Jose,yes Winnipeg
Oct 20
yes Cuiaba,yes Detroit,yes Middle Tennessee,yes Seattle,yes Winnipeg
Oct 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4Kyes AC Goianiense,yes Juventude RS,yes Cucuta,yes Reg Time: Middlesbrough,yes Reg Time: Ipswich Town,yes Reg Time: Wolverhampton,yes Al Nassr,yes Tie,yes Reg Time: AEK Athens$4.82 on Yes at 0¢, Aug 25
- 2+$2.3Kyes America Cali,yes Atletico Nacional,yes Tie,yes Reg Time: Newcastle,yes Reg Time: Everton,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Tie,yes El Paso Locomotive FC$9.30 on Yes at 0¢, Aug 26
- 3+$1.3Kyes Atlanta,yes Brooklyn,yes Washington$9.33 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?3¢407%+$117.84
yes Bo Bichette: 1+,yes Cody Bellinger: 1+,yes Alec Burleson: 1+0¢20%-$18.18
yes Hugo Dellien,yes Juan Manuel La Serna,yes Thomas Faurel,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Hayden Jones,yes Leo Borg,yes Karan Singh,yes A's,yes Los Angeles D,yes Colorado0¢20%-$4.55
yes Reg Time: Fiorentina,yes Reg Time: Arsenal,yes Al Ahly (EGY),yes Modern,yes Zaglebie Lubin,yes Gornik Zabrze,yes Ajax,yes Real Madrid,yes Heart of Midlothian,yes Hibernian,yes Sion0¢20%-$13.90
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202610546D0EB98-4FC453A30601+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$4.1K
Sep 2026-$772.16
Oct 2026-$531.68
Kalshi leaderboards
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