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Stats as of

strict.toad9480

-$305.14
Tracked Trades
62
First Seen
Nov 5, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 25, 2026
Best In Parlays
6% won · 17 settled · +$111.29

strict.toad9480 is a Kalshi trader with 62 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, -$305.14 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Sam Darnold: 20+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Xavier Worthy: 4+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 6+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 70+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 80+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+ on Oct 25.

Win rate
7%
Return on settled
-41%
Money traded
$2.6K
Typical trade
$7.90
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#5,723

Profit over time

+$0.00-$545.00
Nov 5Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢388%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢1329%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢645%20%-24 pts
60 to 80¢265%
Over 80¢390%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $41615%-$10.91
$5 to $8160%-$87.79
$8 to $19150%-$194.11
$19 to $1.7K1520%-$12.33

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays196%+$111.29
NFL1615%-$62.58
Entertainment90%-$201.13
US elections10%-$74.76
MMA158%-$49.91
Mentions10%-$18.85

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied strict.toad9480

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$488.89
Profit
on $900.00 staked
1-8
Record
11% win rate
+54%
Return
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$688.89-$400.00
Sep 14Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

sports9 settled+54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Sam Darnold: 20+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Xavier Worthy: 4+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 6+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 70+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 80+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+
Oct 25
Yes2¢$18.68-$18.68
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026NRITRLIZDH2AZXIC-LVZWWONUO
Oct 25
Sold Nosold 91¢$1.7KExited
yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Green Bay,yes Minnesota,yes New York G,yes San Francisco
Oct 25
Yes1¢$18.69-$18.69
See every position across 45 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Matthew Stafford: 2+,yes Davante Adams: 4+,yes Puka Nacua: 70+,yes James Cook III: 60+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+
    $23.47 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 12
    +$302.50
  2. 2
    Baltimore at Pittsburgh Winner?
    $50.67 on Yes at 46¢, Jan 5
    +$58.33
  3. 3
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Gaethje vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jan 24, 2026?
    $0.66 on Yes at 33¢, Jan 25
    +$1.34
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026NRITRLIZDH2AZXIC-LVZWWONUO1+$0.00
Will Timothee Chalamet win Best Actor at the Oscars?33¢10%-$106.92
Green Bay at Minnesota Winner?17¢30%-$13.94
Will Kamala Harris or another Democrat win the Presidency?42¢10%-$74.76
Will the Los Angeles R win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?14¢20%-$9.38

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 28Oct 25

Profit by month

Nov 2024-$74.76
Mar 2025-$47.04
Dec 2025-$9.38
Jan 2026-$80.62
Feb 2026-$47.03
Mar 2026-$144.93
Apr 2026-$8.37
Jun 2026-$27.51
Jul 2026-$40.47
Sep 2026-$64.85
Oct 2026+$239.82

Kalshi leaderboards

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