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Stats as of
surviving.sturgeon1919
+$656
- Tracked Trades
- 101
- First Seen
- Sep 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 23% won · 60 settled · +$378
surviving.sturgeon1919 is a Kalshi trader with 101 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 23 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, $656 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AR7JK4DTB736A6WS-YUDCBUGNE on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $19.9K
- Typical trade
- $121
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,762
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$1.1K
Sep 19Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4711%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢1928%44%+17 pts
40 to 60¢1751%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢676%
Over 80¢1291%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $382645%+$370
$41 to $1212528%-$42
$121 to $1752529%+$1.1K
$176 to $1.2K250%-$772
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8123%+$378
College football1882%+$352
Baseball20%-$75
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied surviving.sturgeon1919
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2675
Profit
on $7300 staked
23-50
Record
32% win rate
+37%
Return
+$3.1K-$700
Sep 14Oct 5
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
30% below peak
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.53×
Profit factor
$7.7K won vs $5.0K lost
+7.8 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 15 trades
By category
sports73 settled+37%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AR7JK4DTB736A6WS-YUDCBUGNE
Oct 18
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ZH4ALF5FFCA2EDI3-3TWLQ7M4A
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262B13AB123C1-5425108671B
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$772yes Tyler Shough: 250+,yes Juwan Johnson: 3+,yes Chris Olave: 80+,yes Bijan Robinson: 80+$175 on Yes at 19¢, Oct 5
- 2+$708yes Quinshon Judkins: 2+,yes Denzel Boston: 40+,yes Roman Wilson: 15+$151 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 1
- 3+$595yes Missouri over 27.5 points,yes NC St. over 23.5 points,yes Georgia St. over 37.5 points$151 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E37324E9C5D-16AB5FCEE291+$0
yes James Madison,yes Kansas St.,yes Utah,yes Penn St.,yes Sam Houston over 6.5 points scored,yes South Alabama over 16.5 points scored,yes Penn St. over 23.5 points scored8¢20%-$97
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F4B30709D3D-C5588BDB1961+$0
yes Bijan Robinson: 5+,yes Tucker Kraft: 4+,yes Drake London: 50+,yes Christian Watson: 60+11¢20%-$121
yes Jared Goff: 2+,yes Bryce Young: 225+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 5+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 25+,yes DET Lions over 27.5 points14¢20%-$120
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$397
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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