tbondy
+$15.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,147
- First Seen
- Jul 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 12, 2026
- Followers
- 2
tbondy is a Kalshi trader with 1,147 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 152 wins and 148 losses on settled markets, $15.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXETH15M-26SEP120315-15 on Sep 12.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +67%
- Money traded
- $155.7K
- Typical trade
- $17
- Copy score
- 45/100
- Kalshi rank
- #475
Profit over time
+$17.4K-$366
Jul 20Sep 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8710%56%+46 pts
20 to 40¢18830%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢14152%35%-17 pts
60 to 80¢32371%77%+6 pts
Over 80¢40889%71%-18 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $328745%+$75
$3 to $1728754%+$232
$17 to $12628741%-$811
$126 to $2.0K28674%+$16.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Crypto15100%+$57
Culture1050%-$427
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied tbondy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$11112
Profit
on $30000 staked
152-148
Record
51% win rate
+37%
Return
+$11.2K-$868
Jul 20Aug 31
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
31% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$25.9K won vs $14.8K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 63 trades
By category
other297 settled+38%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
KXETH15M-26SEP120315-15
Sep 12, avg 81¢
ETH price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 12, avg 87¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 12, avg 88¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$735 on No, Aug 20
- 2+$3.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$971 on No, Aug 21
- 3+$2.6KSOL price up in next 15 mins?$620 on No, Aug 21
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?51346%+$7.6K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?28560%+$2.5K
Bitcoin price on Aug 19, 2026?8271%+$53
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?60%-$749
SOL price up in next 15 mins?6543%+$2.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 15Sep 12
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$181
Aug 2026+$17.2K
Sep 2026-$1.5K
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy tbondy on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.