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Stats as of

tbondy

+$3.6K
Tracked Trades
1,901
First Seen
Jul 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Commodities
25% won · 20 settled · +$1.7K

tbondy is a Kalshi trader with 1,901 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 119 wins and 185 losses on settled markets, $3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: HYPE price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$194.2K
Typical trade
$15.12
Avg entry
23¢
Kalshi rank
#1,875

Profit over time

+$3.6K-$1.2K
Jul 20Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17211%29%+18 pts
20 to 40¢20229%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢19852%73%+21 pts
60 to 80¢69472%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢63589%80%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $347635%+$43.67
$3 to $1547547%+$773.67
$15 to $9347539%+$315.53
$93 to $2.0K47540%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin88245%+$1.3K
Ethereum32217%+$116.90
Solana23923%-$89.40
Commodities13325%+$1.7K
XRP12772%+$357.55
Other crypto18847%+$292.50

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied tbondy

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,537.31
Profit
on $11,100.00 staked
38-73
Record
34% win rate
+32%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time111 settled trades
+$3.7K+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
27% below peak
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.48×
Profit factor
$10.8K won vs $7.3K lost
+6.5 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

crypto32 settled+41%
other66 settled+28%
finance11 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $290.81

The markets tbondy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tbondy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 71¢$2.84Exited
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 70¢$156.76Exited
NEAR price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 80¢$166.84Exited
See every position across 244 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $456.98 on No at 23¢, Aug 20
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $785.91 on Yes at 35¢, Sep 4
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $280.89 on Yes at 20¢, Nov 4
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢79046%+$1.3K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?24¢29916%+$102.20
SOL price up in next 15 mins?23¢22623%-$89.40
XRP price up in next 15 mins?20¢12076%+$394.62
Bitcoin price on Aug 19, 2026?16¢7943%+$7.41

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$877.25
Aug 2026+$1.3K
Sep 2026+$1.3K
Oct 2026+$636.74
Nov 2026+$1.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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