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Stats as of
tdntrades
+$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 353
- First Seen
- Jan 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 19, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 68% won · 112 settled · +$7.1K
tdntrades is a Kalshi trader with 353 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 147 wins and 63 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 19.
- Win rate
- 70%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $240.2K
- Typical trade
- $388.82
- Avg entry
- 70¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,421
Profit over time
+$4.8K-$5.6K
Jan 5Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢285%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢1631%31%+0 pts
40 to 60¢4153%62%+10 pts
60 to 80¢6271%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢20695%92%-4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $798943%+$11.99
$83 to $3898877%+$1.6K
$390 to $7398871%-$1.3K
$764 to $7.1K8881%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin21068%+$7.1K
NBA3379%-$3.8K
Tennis2890%+$1.1K
College basketball14100%+$2.6K
Baseball1667%-$2.0K
Soccer1275%+$727.38
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied tdntrades
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$98.88
Profit
on $10,400.00 staked
74-30
Record
71% win rate
+1%
Return
+$430.92+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 19
-$718.95
Max drawdown
134% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$3.1K won vs $3.0K lost
+6.4 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 65¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 26 trades
By category
other75 settled+4%
crypto29 settled-7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$861.99 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 3
- 2+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.9K on Yes at 58¢, Sep 3
- 3+$1.3KLouisville at Michigan St. Winner?$2.8K on Yes at 68¢, Mar 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?69¢15266%+$1.1K
Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?80¢10100%+$2.5K
Oklahoma City at Washington Winner?98¢2100%+$86.36
Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026?61¢2375%+$1.1K
Los Angeles L at Orlando Winner?93¢10%-$5.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 22Oct 19
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$193.61
Feb 2026-$993.32
Mar 2026-$2.4K
Apr 2026-$384.24
May 2026-$90.14
Jun 2026-$838.10
Jul 2026-$1.0K
Aug 2026+$185.80
Sep 2026+$9.5K
Oct 2026-$2.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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