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Stats as of
tfa121417
+$937
- Tracked Trades
- 220
- First Seen
- Mar 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 10% won · 117 settled · +$972
tfa121417 is a Kalshi trader with 220 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 31 wins and 146 losses on settled markets, $937 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F5FM3AK4UX7BCOS7-XVESYR5FT on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $90.2K
- Typical trade
- $24
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,504
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$573
Mar 21Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1216%11%+4 pts
20 to 40¢4229%16%-13 pts
40 to 60¢2447%45%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1871%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢1592%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $145518%-$138
$14 to $245515%+$2.2K
$24 to $675525%-$518
$68 to $38K557%-$600
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays14110%+$972
College football4731%-$73
NFL2541%+$206
Baseball30%-$68
College basketball333%-$39
Hockey10%-$61
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied tfa121417
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$7013
Profit
on $15400 staked
26-128
Record
17% win rate
+46%
Return
+$7.0K-$2.1K
Aug 24Oct 12
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
56% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.55×
Profit factor
$19.8K won vs $12.8K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 21
- Deepest drawdown
- 52 trades
By category
sports101 settled+92%
other53 settled-42%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F5FM3AK4UX7BCOS7-XVESYR5FT
Oct 21
yes Green Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Matthew Golden: 65+,yes Ladd McConkey: 50+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+,yes Tucker Kraft: 1+
Oct 18
yes Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points,yes Chicago,yes Green Bay,yes New Orleans,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3Kyes Alabama wins 1H by over 6.5 points,no Washington wins by over 7.5 points,yes Mississippi St. wins by over 2.5 points,yes Oklahoma St. wins by over 5.5 points,yes Oregon wins by over 7.5 points,yes LSU wins by over 5.5 points$23 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 26
- 2+$1.8Kyes Tampa Bay,no Over 0.5 runs,no Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Boston,yes Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 goals$70 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 13
- 3+$953yes Liverpool,yes Real Betis,no Slovan Bratislava,no Como wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Aston Villa over 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$75 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202634XOQ5HRP3KOK2UV-4XPAIQC261+$0
yes DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points,yes DET Lions wins by over 2.5 points,yes Green Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes New York J,yes Pittsburgh,yes New Orleans,yes Seattle,yes HOU Texans wins by over 9.5 points,yes NE Patriots wins by over 3.5 points,no JAC Jaguars wins by over 10.5 points0¢20%-$22
yes Baltimore,yes Cincinnati,yes New York J,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes Washington,yes Jacksonville,yes GB Packers wins by over 1.5 points,no DET Lions wins by over 7.5 points,yes NE Patriots wins by over 9.5 points,yes J.K. Dobbins: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+0¢20%-$10
yes Atlanta,yes Los Angeles R,yes Kyle Pitts Sr.: 2+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Over 43.5 points0¢20%-$23
yes Baltimore,no DET Lions wins by over 7.5 points,yes Evan Engram: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+1¢20%-$23
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$106
Apr 2026+$77
May 2026-$28
Jun 2026-$158
Jul 2026-$23
Aug 2026+$97
Sep 2026+$1.1K
Oct 2026-$199
Kalshi leaderboards
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