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Stats as of

thaddeusb

+$135
Tracked Trades
1,152
First Seen
Aug 31, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026

thaddeusb is a Kalshi trader with 1,152 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $135 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXATTYGENNY-26-R on Oct 24.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$233.7K
Typical trade
$17
Avg entry
78¢
Kalshi rank
#4,389

Profit over time

+$331-$84
Sep 12Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2897%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢9629%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢7150%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢10370%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢59394%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $428842%-$7
$4 to $1728854%-$47
$17 to $17228865%-$300
$172 to $993288100%+$489

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment35567%+$130
US elections62+$0
US politics12758%-$218
Economic data62100%+$1
World politics4533%+$116
Baseball208+$0

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied thaddeusb

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1762
Profit
on $7100 staked
43-28
Record
61% win rate
-25%
Return
230 still open
Profit over time71 settled trades
+$33-$1.8K
Sep 7Oct 19
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
5449% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.37×
Profit factor
$1.0K won vs $2.8K lost
-8.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 69¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
46 trades

By category

finance11 settled+31%
culture27 settled-33%
politics29 settled-43%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

73 open positions worth $21.3K

The markets thaddeusb is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thaddeusb is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?
Oct 24, 10 fills
No92¢sold 93¢$229Exited
KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT30
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 93¢$930Exited
KXVTMILK-27APR30-T2.60
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 93¢$930Exited
See every position across 408 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026?
    $62 on No at 32¢, Oct 21
    +$131
  2. 2
    KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26SEP13-T40
    $1.7K on No at 93¢, Sep 14
    +$122
  3. 3
    Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be above 37.4% at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026?
    $488 on No at 82¢, Oct 21
    +$107
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?86¢104+$0
Wicker Rotten Tomatoes score?98¢83+$0
Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score?99¢19+$0
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?92¢8+$0
KXATTYGENNY-26-D93¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$272
Oct 2026-$137

Kalshi leaderboards

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