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Stats as of
thatguyTef
thatguytef
-$6.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 203
- First Seen
- May 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 29, 2026
- Best In Other crypto
- 63% won · 16 settled · +$1.0K
thatguyTef is a Kalshi trader with 203 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 71 wins and 106 losses on settled markets, -$6.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: DOGE price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 29.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- -16%
- Money traded
- $47.5K
- Typical trade
- $168.08
- Avg entry
- 36¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,127
Profit over time
+$852.00-$10.6K
May 1Oct 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2310%5%-5 pts
20 to 40¢3931%18%-14 pts
40 to 60¢6549%48%-1 pts
60 to 80¢3469%55%-14 pts
Over 80¢4291%78%-14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $715146%-$235.53
$72 to $1685130%-$1.5K
$170 to $2455140%-$3.8K
$249 to $2.4K5044%-$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8124%-$5.9K
Bitcoin9256%-$2.6K
Other crypto1963%+$1.0K
NBA1013%+$562.03
Esports1100%+$130.85
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied thatguyTef
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$81.91
Profit
on $4,600.00 staked
23-23
Record
50% win rate
-2%
Return
+$108.60-$593.13
Aug 10Oct 26
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
330% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $2.3K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 27 trades
By category
sports21 settled-2%
crypto23 settled-3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 29, 23 fills
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 29, 5 fills
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 29, 7 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4Kyes Elly De La Cruz: 1+,yes Aaron Judge: 1+,yes Nick Kurtz: 1+,yes Chris Bassitt: 2+,yes Walker Buehler: 2+$862.23 on Yes at 38¢, May 16
- 2+$1.3Kyes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 4+,yes Luka Dončić: 4+,yes LaMelo Ball: 4+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,no Daniel Jones: 3+,no Malik Willis: 2+,no Geno Smith: 3+,no J.J. McCarthy: 3+,yes Tyler Huntley: 125+,no George Kittle: 2+$961.23 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 25
- 3+$1.2KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DKHNCZ6L6SRT23HA-DZBOQXBHT$962.17 on Yes at 44¢, Oct 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?53¢4956%-$1.2K
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?55¢1963%+$1.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026W5GWE3DCB5OEDP7T-K5L2F6YPL44¢20%-$962.09
Bitcoin price on Jun 14, 2026?70¢2067%-$217.99
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NU2VZKLCT5OB7K4G-KMOLSKPJF46¢10%-$2.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 1Oct 29
Profit by month
May 2026-$2.9K
Jun 2026-$3.0K
Jul 2026-$1.8K
Aug 2026-$21.81
Sep 2026-$1.6K
Oct 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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