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Stats as of
TheDelicateGenius
thedelicategenius
+$2.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 850
- First Seen
- May 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 51% won · 75 settled · +$3.9K
TheDelicateGenius is a Kalshi trader with 850 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 171 wins and 588 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FVYNHMFLHWSNKSYI-Y2EEDBA55 on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 23%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $159.8K
- Typical trade
- $117.67
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,419
Profit over time
+$6.4K-$4.8K
May 19Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢49111%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢13028%27%-1 pts
40 to 60¢12952%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢4168%63%-5 pts
Over 80¢5992%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$2 to $692138%-$3.6K
$69 to $11821320%+$3.8K
$118 to $19021225%-$1.0K
$190 to $4.0K21243%+$3.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays65615%+$1.4K
Baseball9251%+$3.9K
NBA168%-$2.9K
WNBA3445%-$1.3K
College football2860%+$367.48
NFL1255%+$731.57
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied TheDelicateGenius
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$518.12
Profit
on $40,000.00 staked
93-307
Record
23% win rate
+1%
Return
+$4.9K-$687.64
Aug 3Oct 5
-$4.5K
Max drawdown
90% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$31.2K won vs $30.7K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 19
- Deepest drawdown
- 104 trades
By category
other273 settled+15%
sports127 settled-27%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FVYNHMFLHWSNKSYI-Y2EEDBA55
Oct 31
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NSYZN2PVPRNNAJ2C-DGYWGXMMP
Oct 27
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KM4V5FOYULDCFRLO-JBNFF4KJH
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.5KWill Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?$973.86 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 3
- 2+$1.9KWill Cleveland be the 2026 AL Central Division Winner$966.24 on Yes at 34¢, Sep 20
- 3+$1.6Kyes Ohio St. wins by over 51.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 24.5 points,yes Over 58.5 points scored$259.71 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Washington,yes Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 2.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 14.5 points2¢20%-$94.43
Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?18¢6100%+$4.5K
Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?33¢50%-$893.88
Will Tampa Bay win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?1+$0.00
yes Kansas City,yes Denver,yes SF 49ers wins by over 9.5 points,yes BUF Bills wins by over 14.5 points,yes Golden State4¢20%-$93.90
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
May 2026+$582.90
Jun 2026-$3.5K
Jul 2026-$1.2K
Aug 2026+$1.7K
Sep 2026+$5.8K
Oct 2026-$788.83
Kalshi leaderboards
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