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Stats as of

thegaryd

-$507.57
Tracked Trades
363
First Seen
Oct 27, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 19, 2026
Best In Soccer
71% won · 21 settled · +$209.32

thegaryd is a Kalshi trader with 363 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 120 wins and 127 losses on settled markets, -$507.57 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Erik Arutiunian + Sander Jong + Santiago Rodriguez Taverna + Rocco Valente + Amelie Van Impe + Thea Frodin on Oct 19.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$46.6K
Typical trade
$48.38
Avg entry
35¢
Kalshi rank
#5,604

Profit over time

+$1.9K-$3.3K
Oct 27Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1168%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢5530%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢4950%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢10569%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢3888%84%-4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $199127%+$152.74
$19 to $489134%-$779.20
$48 to $1439162%-$1.75
$144 to $1.3K9067%+$120.64

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis13568%-$244.16
Parlays8916%+$138.15
Soccer3871%+$209.32
Esports3265%-$543.89
NBA1742%-$113.34
College basketball1533%-$312.30

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied thegaryd

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$698.90
Profit
on $1,000.00 staked
5-5
Record
50% win rate
+70%
Return
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$698.90-$400.00
Sep 14Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

sports8 settled+87%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Erik Arutiunian + Sander Jong + Santiago Rodriguez Taverna + Rocco Valente + Amelie Van Impe + Thea Frodin
Oct 19
Sold Nosold 81¢$567.18Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IZORZVFOLHSDTSUK-BWSS65CBL
Oct 19
Sold Nosold 70¢$1.0KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IZORZVFOLHSDTSUK-BWSS65CBL
Oct 19
Yes54¢$784.62-$784.62
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Kazuma Kawachi,yes Marko Retelj,yes Chihiro Muramatsu,yes Jiho Shin,yes Junlu Sun
    $331.64 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 19
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    yes Sam Kydd Baumgartner,yes Tin Chen,yes Alexander Watanabe Eriksson,yes Chun-Chien Hou,yes Yeongseok Jeong,yes Yu Tanaka,yes Azuma Visaya,yes Darja Suvirdjonkova,yes Jiangxue HAN
    $194.86 on Yes at 19¢, Oct 19
    +$836.15
  3. 3
    Will Yafan Wang win the Inglis vs Wang match?
    $949.68 on Yes at 61¢, Oct 27
    +$614.32
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Vitality win the 9z vs. Vitality CS2 match?16¢40%-$968.13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IZORZVFOLHSDTSUK-BWSS65CBL54¢20%-$784.62
Frankfurt vs Dortmund Winner?71¢20%-$781.71
Will Maddison Inglis win the Inglis vs Wang match?55¢10%-$1.3K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266AVQJWTQXLFVZPFU-M5YTZ3RR31+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 22Oct 19

Profit by month

Oct 2025+$396.24
Nov 2025-$261.18
Dec 2025-$320.23
Jan 2026-$547.28
Feb 2026-$111.65
Mar 2026-$1.3K
Apr 2026-$275.47
Jun 2026-$362.60
Jul 2026-$232.92
Sep 2026-$140.47
Oct 2026+$2.6K

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