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Stats as of
theoralsurgeon
-$655
- Tracked Trades
- 1,039
- First Seen
- Apr 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In College football
- 67% won · 52 settled · +$2.3K
theoralsurgeon is a Kalshi trader with 1,039 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 710 wins and 211 losses on settled markets, -$655 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Liberty wins on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 77%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $244.7K
- Typical trade
- $38
- Avg entry
- 86¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,238
Profit over time
+$832-$3.2K
Apr 1Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢479%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢3429%6%-24 pts
40 to 60¢10952%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢26372%73%+1 pts
Over 80¢58690%88%-2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $926071%-$101
$9 to $3826073%-$457
$38 to $19526079%+$739
$195 to $5.6K25985%-$836
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA21976%-$180
WNBA24071%-$323
Baseball31786%+$88
College football6367%+$2.3K
Hockey2036%-$1.1K
College basketball7778%+$372
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied theoralsurgeon
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$49
Profit
on $10400 staked
81-23
Record
78% win rate
+0%
Return
2 still open
+$392-$1.0K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
320% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $2.3K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 78¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 16 trades
By category
sports104 settled+0%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Liberty wins
Oct 22
Denver wins
Oct 16, 12 fills
Milwaukee wins
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KGame 6: Denver at Minnesota Winner?$6.6K on Yes at 86¢, May 1
- 2+$1.0KIndiana vs New York winner?$5.9K on Yes at 85¢, Jun 7
- 3+$921Game 2: Cleveland at Detroit Winner?$2.0K on Yes at 68¢, May 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Toronto vs Washington winner?96¢2855%-$121
Indiana vs New York winner?86¢3851%-$463
Chicago vs Toronto winner?99¢6100%+$114
Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?90¢767%+$73
Game 6: Denver at Minnesota Winner?86¢5100%+$1.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$2.3K
May 2026+$1.3K
Jun 2026-$473
Jul 2026-$224
Aug 2026-$17
Sep 2026+$397
Oct 2026+$678
Kalshi leaderboards
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