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Stats as of
therealfootball
+$4.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 581
- First Seen
- Dec 10, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 27, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 4% won · 134 settled · +$2.7K
therealfootball is a Kalshi trader with 581 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 88 wins and 366 losses on settled markets, $4.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Roma wins by more than 2.5 goals? on Oct 27.
- Win rate
- 19%
- Return on settled
- +36%
- Money traded
- $21.4K
- Typical trade
- $18.44
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,597
Profit over time
+$4.4K-$207.00
Dec 10Oct 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2937%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢13729%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢9747%48%+1 pts
60 to 80¢3370%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢2192%67%-26 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914610%-$138.79
$9 to $1814513%+$2.3K
$19 to $4614522%+$61.74
$46 to $1.0K14538%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer22121%+$119.42
Commodities6537%+$1.7K
Parlays1484%+$2.7K
Baseball6242%-$4.20
Tennis3621%-$244.10
NBA3220%-$92.91
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied therealfootball
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$26,772.40
Profit
on $9,600.00 staked
20-76
Record
21% win rate
+279%
Return
+$26.8K-$3.1K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
8.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.52×
Profit factor
$34.4K won vs $7.6K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 41 trades
By category
sports63 settled+403%
finance33 settled+41%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Roma wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Oct 27, 9 fills
yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Roma,yes Lazio,yes Como
Oct 27, 2 fills
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8Kyes Aston Villa,yes Brighton wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals$9.34 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 17
- 2+$1.0Kyes Both Teams To Score,yes Korea Republic,yes Tie,yes USA$20.93 on Yes at 2¢, Jun 12
- 3+$953.48Gold price up in next 15 mins?$90.45 on No at 9¢, Oct 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?32¢6537%+$1.7K
Francisca Jorge wins50¢2100%+$284.06
Argentina wins by more than 2.5 goals?19¢2100%+$848.03
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid21¢2100%+$322.72
Texas vs A's Winner?33¢875%+$257.50
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 30Oct 27
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$9.36
Mar 2026+$163.77
Apr 2026+$94.75
May 2026-$292.68
Jun 2026+$1.0K
Jul 2026-$398.76
Aug 2026-$46.77
Sep 2026-$468.98
Oct 2026+$4.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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